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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns33%9491
5Hornets67%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.0
40.8
36.1
26
63%
4
1
1
1
0
6
1
3
4-4
100%
11-19
7-12
58%
56%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.2
39.7
18.4
17
47%
6
6
2
1
1
4
1
5
3-5
60%
7-15
2-4
47%
50%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.0
38.9
20.8
19
57%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
49%
2-6
33%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
29.4
33.5
6
50%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.7
20.4
6.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.7
32.3
30.9
13
59%
7
2
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.6
25.4
24.6
8
50%
4
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
6.8
11.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.0
6.4
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.8
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
44.5
37.1
24
56%
4
15
3
2
0
3
1
3
8-8
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
52%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
39.9
36.1
23
70%
14
2
1
1
1
0
4
10
10-10
100%
5-11
7-15
45%
50%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
35.4
30.6
24
69%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
5-9
56%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
33.7
30.4
14
77%
9
0
1
0
3
4
6
3
4-7
57%
5-6
3-5
83%
60%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
21.5
27.2
4
26%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
21.7
27.3
3
75%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-2
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
18.3
19.9
8
62%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
12.1
15.2
4
52%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
9.6
5.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
3.5
11.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
9.3
0
1-2
53%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.