Final Win Prob. pScore
737%93
108
563%98
91
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
117.49282.0
DEN logo Nuggets
100.091103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN108
91
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)108
91
Q4 - 0:41.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)106
91
Q4 - 0:50.0SASBillups STEAL (1 STL)106
88
Q4 - 1:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)106
88
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Smith Layup106
88
Q4 - 1:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)106
88
Q4 - 1:15DENMISS Smith Driving Layup106
88
Q4 - 1:38SASParker Driving Layup (22 PTS)106
88
Q4 - 1:57DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)104
88
Q4 - 2:06SASParker 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)104
86
Q4 - 2:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)102
86
Q4 - 2:30DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup102
86
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)102
86
Q4 - 2:50SASSUB: Bonner FOR Mason Jr.101
86
Q4 - 2:50DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)101
86
Q4 - 2:50DENNene S.FOUL (P5.T4)101
86
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)101
86
Q4 - 3:06DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P7.T14)99
86
Q4 - 3:06DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P5)99
86
Q4 - 3:16SASSUB: Parker FOR Hill99
86
Q4 - 3:16DENNUGGETS Rebound99
86
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
86
Q4 - 3:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
86
Q4 - 3:25DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
86
Q4 - 3:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
86
Q4 - 3:31SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
86
Q4 - 3:56DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)99
86
Q4 - 4:04DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
83
Q4 - 4:06SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
83
Q4 - 4:29DENBillups 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)99
83
Q4 - 4:41DENAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending99
81
Q4 - 4:41SASMason Jr. Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)99
81
Q4 - 4:52DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)97
81
Q4 - 5:06SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker97
81
Q4 - 5:0697
81
Q4 - 5:06SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)97
81
Q4 - 5:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)97
81
Q4 - 5:09SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)97
81
Q4 - 5:34DENNene Dunk (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)97
81
Q4 - 5:42DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
79
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot97
79
Q4 - 6:02DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T12)97
79
Q4 - 6:02DENBillups OFF.Foul (P4)97
79
Q4 - 6:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
79
Q4 - 6:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot97
79
Q4 - 6:28DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)97
79
Q4 - 6:34SASAnthony STEAL (3 STL)97
76
Q4 - 6:50DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)97
76
Q4 - 7:02SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)97
74
Q4 - 7:18DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P5.T11)94
74
Q4 - 7:18DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P4)94
74
Q4 - 7:20SASHill P.FOUL (P5.T4)94
74
Q4 - 7:21SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley94
74
Q4 - 7:21SASFinley P.FOUL (P5.T3)94
74
Q4 - 7:28SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)94
74
Q4 - 7:28SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
74
Q4 - 7:28DENNene S.FOUL (P4.T3)92
74
Q4 - 7:30SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
74
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot92
74
Q4 - 7:54SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)92
74
Q4 - 8:05SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)90
74
Q4 - 8:10SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
74
Q4 - 8:11DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot90
74
Q4 - 8:19SASAnthony STEAL (2 STL)90
74
Q4 - 8:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
74
Q4 - 8:25SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot90
74
Q4 - 8:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
74
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot90
74
Q4 - 8:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
74
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Hook Shot90
74
Q4 - 9:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
74
Q4 - 9:02DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup90
74
Q4 - 9:11DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Carter90
74
Q4 - 9:11SASDuncan P.FOUL (P4.T2)90
74
Q4 - 9:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
74
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot90
74
Q4 - 9:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)90
74
Q4 - 9:33SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili89
74
Q4 - 9:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
74
Q4 - 9:33DENNene S.FOUL (P3.T2)88
74
Q4 - 9:56DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)88
74
Q4 - 10:08SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T11)88
71
Q4 - 10:08SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P3)88
71
Q4 - 10:17DENNene P.FOUL (P2.T1)88
71
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
71
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith Tip Shot (9 PTS)88
71
Q4 - 10:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
69
Q4 - 10:29DENMISS Smith Layup88
69
Q4 - 10:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
69
Q4 - 10:31DENMISS Smith Tip Shot88
69
Q4 - 10:32DENMISS Smith Layup88
69
Q4 - 10:44SASParker 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)88
69
Q4 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
69
Q4 - 10:59DENMISS Anthony 7' Turnaround Jump Shot86
69
Q4 - 11:10DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
69
Q4 - 11:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
69
Q4 - 11:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
69
Q4 - 11:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
68
Q4 - 11:28DENSUB: Billups FOR Kleiza86
67
Q4 - 11:28SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.T1)86
67
Q4 - 11:42SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)86
67
Q4 - 12:0083
67
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS83
67
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound83
67
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
67
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMartin Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)83
67
Q3 - 0:07.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley83
65
Q3 - 0:07.0DENNUGGETS Rebound83
65
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 283
65
Q3 - 0:10.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen83
65
Q3 - 0:10.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto83
65
Q3 - 0:10.0DENNUGGETS Rebound83
65
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 283
65
Q3 - 0:10.0SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
65
Q3 - 0:29.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)83
65
Q3 - 0:39.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)80
65
Q3 - 0:39.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Hill80
64
Q3 - 0:39.0SASHill S.FOUL (P4.PN)80
64
Q3 - 0:39.0DENSmith Layup (4 PTS)80
64
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
62
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
62
Q3 - 0:49.0DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3)78
62
Q3 - 1:03DENAnthony Layup (16 PTS)78
62
Q3 - 1:16DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
60
Q3 - 1:17SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot78
60
Q3 - 1:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
60
Q3 - 1:29SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
60
Q3 - 1:36DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)78
60
Q3 - 1:59DENAnthony Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
60
Q3 - 2:05DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
58
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Mason Jr. 14' Jump Shot78
58
Q3 - 2:35DENSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)78
58
Q3 - 2:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
56
Q3 - 2:42SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
56
Q3 - 3:00DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
56
Q3 - 3:00SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan78
55
Q3 - 3:00DENNUGGETS Rebound78
55
Q3 - 3:00DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 278
55
Q3 - 3:00SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)78
55
Q3 - 3:16SASDuncan Dunk (17 PTS)78
55
Q3 - 3:32SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
55
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 176
55
Q3 - 3:33SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)76
55
Q3 - 3:33DENAnthony Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)76
55
Q3 - 3:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
53
Q3 - 3:49DENSUB: Smith FOR Billups75
53
Q3 - 3:49SASSUB: Parker FOR Bonner75
53
Q3 - 3:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
53
Q3 - 3:49DENMartin S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
53
Q3 - 4:02DENCarter Foul Turnover (P3.T10)74
53
Q3 - 4:02DENCarter OFF.Foul (P2)74
53
Q3 - 4:09DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
53
Q3 - 4:11SASMISS Hill Driving Layup74
53
Q3 - 4:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
53
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Hook Shot74
53
Q3 - 4:38SASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)74
53
Q3 - 4:45DENBillups P.FOUL (P3.T1)72
53
Q3 - 4:58DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)72
53
Q3 - 4:58SASHill S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
52
Q3 - 4:58DENCarter 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)72
52
Q3 - 5:12SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)72
50
Q3 - 5:36DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
50
Q3 - 5:36DENNUGGETS Rebound72
49
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 272
49
Q3 - 5:36SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili72
49
Q3 - 5:36SASHill P.FOUL (P2.PN)72
49
Q3 - 5:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
49
Q3 - 5:37DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot72
49
Q3 - 5:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
49
Q3 - 5:46SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Jump Shot72
49
Q3 - 5:52DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Nene72
49
Q3 - 5:52SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)72
49
Q3 - 5:54SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
49
Q3 - 5:55DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot72
49
Q3 - 6:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
49
Q3 - 6:09SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot72
49
Q3 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
49
Q3 - 6:34DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 272
49
Q3 - 6:34DENSUB: Carter FOR Jones72
49
Q3 - 6:34SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker72
49
Q3 - 6:34DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
49
Q3 - 6:34SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T4)72
48
Q3 - 6:47SASMartin STEAL (1 STL)72
48
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
48
Q3 - 7:05DENMISS Billups Driving Layup72
48
Q3 - 7:14DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
48
Q3 - 7:15SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Hook Shot72
48
Q3 - 7:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
48
Q3 - 7:42DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup72
48
Q3 - 7:55SASDuncan 17' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)72
48
Q3 - 8:12DENNene 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)70
48
Q3 - 8:19SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T3)70
46
Q3 - 8:30SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)70
46
Q3 - 8:48DENNene Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)67
46
Q3 - 9:08SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
44
Q3 - 9:26DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)65
44
Q3 - 9:37SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley65
44
Q3 - 9:37SASFinley P.FOUL (P4.T2)65
44
Q3 - 9:44SASDuncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
44
Q3 - 10:05DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)63
44
Q3 - 10:27SASBonner 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
42
Q3 - 10:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
42
Q3 - 10:30SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
42
Q3 - 10:30SASMISS Bonner Tip Shot61
42
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot61
42
Q3 - 10:49DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)61
42
Q3 - 11:03DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
42
Q3 - 11:05SASBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)61
42
Q3 - 11:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
42
Q3 - 11:11DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot61
42
Q3 - 11:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
42
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot61
42
Q3 - 11:41DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
42
Q3 - 11:41DENNUGGETS Rebound61
41
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 261
41
Q3 - 11:41SASBonner S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
41
Q3 - 12:0061
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS61
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound61
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot61
41
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
41
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot61
41
Q2 - 0:13.0SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)61
41
Q2 - 0:13.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
41
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMISS Nene Layup61
41
Q2 - 0:32.0SASParker 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
41
Q2 - 0:48.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
41
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot59
41
Q2 - 0:54.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
41
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot59
41
Q2 - 1:08SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
41
Q2 - 1:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
41
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot57
41
Q2 - 1:40SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)57
41
Q2 - 1:55DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
41
Q2 - 1:55SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto54
40
Q2 - 1:55DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
40
Q2 - 1:55SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)54
39
Q2 - 1:55DENNUGGETS Rebound54
39
Q2 - 1:57SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
39
Q2 - 2:15DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Anthony54
39
Q2 - 2:15DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T7)54
39
Q2 - 2:15DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P3)54
39
Q2 - 2:32SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T7)54
39
Q2 - 2:32SASParker OFF.Foul (P1)54
39
Q2 - 2:45DENBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)54
39
Q2 - 2:54DENNUGGETS Rebound54
39
Q2 - 2:54SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
39
Q2 - 3:06DENBillups P.FOUL (P2.T3)54
39
Q2 - 3:15SASMason Jr. Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)54
39
Q2 - 3:15DENAnthony T.FOUL (P2.T2)53
39
Q2 - 3:18DENSUB: Smith FOR Carter53
39
Q2 - 3:18SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili53
39
Q2 - 3:18DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)53
39
Q2 - 3:18DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P2)53
39
Q2 - 3:31SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)53
39
Q2 - 3:52DENMartin Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
39
Q2 - 4:14SAS51
37
Q2 - 4:14SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)51
37
Q2 - 4:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
37
Q2 - 4:35DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot49
37
Q2 - 4:56SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Oberto 4 AST)49
37
Q2 - 5:14SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)47
37
Q2 - 5:15DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)47
37
Q2 - 5:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
35
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
35
Q2 - 5:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
35
Q2 - 5:28SASMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)47
35
Q2 - 5:42DENMartin 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)47
35
Q2 - 6:05DENSUB: Anthony FOR Kleiza47
33
Q2 - 6:05SASSUB: Parker FOR Hill47
33
Q2 - 6:05SASSUB: Oberto FOR Mason Jr.47
33
Q2 - 6:05SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan47
33
Q2 - 6:05DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)47
33
Q2 - 6:05SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)47
33
Q2 - 6:21SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
33
Q2 - 6:22DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
33
Q2 - 6:46SASHill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)44
33
Q2 - 7:02DENMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
33
Q2 - 7:02DENMartin OFF.Foul (P2)42
33
Q2 - 7:08SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T4)42
33
Q2 - 7:11DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
33
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
33
Q2 - 7:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
33
Q2 - 7:20DENMISS Nene 17' Turnaround Jump Shot42
33
Q2 - 7:38SASMason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)42
33
Q2 - 7:52DENSUB: Martin FOR Smith39
33
Q2 - 7:52DENKleiza P.FOUL (P1.T2)39
33
Q2 - 7:52SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
33
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
33
Q2 - 7:58DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
33
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Hill 3' Layup39
33
Q2 - 8:20SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
33
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 239
33
Q2 - 8:21SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley39
33
Q2 - 8:21DENNUGGETS Rebound39
33
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 239
33
Q2 - 8:21SASFinley S.FOUL (P3.T3)39
33
Q2 - 8:41SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)39
33
Q2 - 8:54DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
33
Q2 - 8:54DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
32
Q2 - 8:54DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen36
31
Q2 - 8:5436
31
Q2 - 8:54SASFinley S.FOUL (P2.T2)36
31
Q2 - 8:57SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)36
31
Q2 - 9:04SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
31
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot36
31
Q2 - 9:12DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
31
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
31
Q2 - 9:36SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
31
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
31
Q2 - 9:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
31
Q2 - 9:48SASSUB: Finley FOR Bonner35
31
Q2 - 9:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
31
Q2 - 9:48DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
31
Q2 - 9:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
31
Q2 - 9:57DENMISS Kleiza Driving Layup34
31
Q2 - 10:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
31
Q2 - 10:11DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
31
Q2 - 10:21SASHill Layup (2 PTS)34
31
Q2 - 10:36DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
31
Q2 - 10:46DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28
Q2 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 11:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
28
Q2 - 11:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
28
Q2 - 11:10DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot32
28
Q2 - 11:12DENMISS Smith Layup32
28
Q2 - 11:19DENSUB: Billups FOR Anthony32
28
Q2 - 11:19SASBonner L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)32
28
Q2 - 11:19DENNUGGETS Rebound32
28
Q2 - 11:19DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup32
28
Q2 - 11:33SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)32
28
Q2 - 11:45DENAndersen Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)30
28
Q2 - 12:0030
26
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
26
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound30
26
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 58' 3PT Jump Shot30
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)30
26
Q1 - 0:01.0SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
26
Q1 - 0:01.0SASHill OFF.Foul (P1)30
26
Q1 - 0:05.0DENAndersen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)30
26
Q1 - 0:25.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
23
Q1 - 0:25.0SASDuncan Layup (7 PTS)30
23
Q1 - 0:26.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
23
Q1 - 0:26.0SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)28
23
Q1 - 0:29.0SASKleiza BLOCK (1 BLK)28
23
Q1 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto28
23
Q1 - 0:45.0DENCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
23
Q1 - 0:45.0DENCarter OFF.Foul (P1)28
23
Q1 - 0:51.0SASBonner 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)28
23
Q1 - 1:00DENCarter Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)26
23
Q1 - 1:16SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker26
21
Q1 - 1:16DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Martin26
21
Q1 - 1:16SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)26
21
Q1 - 1:16SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)26
21
Q1 - 1:28SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
21
Q1 - 1:29DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot26
21
Q1 - 1:49SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)26
21
Q1 - 2:01DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)24
21
Q1 - 2:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 2:14SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
19
Q1 - 2:30SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)24
19
Q1 - 2:32SASMISS Bowen 9' Running Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 2:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
19
Q1 - 2:48SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 3:06SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan24
19
Q1 - 3:06SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
19
Q1 - 3:06DENSUB: Carter FOR Billups24
19
Q1 - 3:06DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)24
19
Q1 - 3:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 3:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 3:19DENBillups S.FOUL (P1.PN)22
19
Q1 - 3:23SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19
Q1 - 3:24DENMISS Andersen Layup22
19
Q1 - 3:41DENSUB: Smith FOR Jones22
19
Q1 - 3:41DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene22
19
Q1 - 3:41SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)22
19
Q1 - 3:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
19
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot22
19
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)22
19
Q1 - 4:19DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)20
19
Q1 - 4:35SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 4:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
17
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Mason Jr. 9' Running Jump Shot18
17
Q1 - 5:13DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
15
Q1 - 5:28SASSpurs Rebound17
15
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 217
15
Q1 - 5:28SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili17
15
Q1 - 5:28SASSUB: Oberto FOR Bonner17
15
Q1 - 5:28DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
15
Q1 - 5:28DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T4)17
15
Q1 - 5:35SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
15
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Nene Layup17
15
Q1 - 5:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
15
Q1 - 5:46DENMISS Nene 10' Jump Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:12SASBonner Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
15
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
15
Q1 - 6:17SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
15
Q1 - 6:33SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley15
15
Q1 - 6:33DENAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)15
15
Q1 - 6:33SASSpurs Rebound15
15
Q1 - 6:34DENMISS Jones Driving Layup15
15
Q1 - 6:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15
Q1 - 6:44SASMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)15
15
Q1 - 6:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15
Q1 - 6:50DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot15
15
Q1 - 6:59SASBonner Violation:Kicked Ball15
15
Q1 - 7:12SASBonner Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)15
15
Q1 - 7:27DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 7:33SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
13
Q1 - 7:55DENJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 8:00SASNene STEAL (1 STL)13
11
Q1 - 8:20DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
11
Q1 - 8:20DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
10
Q1 - 8:20SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
9
Q1 - 8:34SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
9
Q1 - 8:48SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9
Q1 - 8:50DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot11
9
Q1 - 9:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9
Q1 - 9:03SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot11
9
Q1 - 9:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9
Q1 - 9:11DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot11
9
Q1 - 9:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 9:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
9
Q1 - 9:26DENNene S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
9
Q1 - 9:47DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
9
Q1 - 10:06SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
6
Q1 - 10:14DENJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
6
Q1 - 10:28DENNene 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 10:44SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 10:59DENNene 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 11:22SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 11:38DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:54SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Duncan: Tip to Ginobili0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 56.8%
DEN
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
22
64%
DEN
18
35
51%
Midrange
SAS
18
34
53%
DEN
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
DEN
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAS
17
18
94%
DEN
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2250%11.0 / 22
T. Duncan2166%10.5 / 16
M. Ginobili2188%10.5 / 12
M. Bonner1488%7.0 / 8
R. Mason Jr.1139%5.5 / 14
G. Hill1155%5.5 / 10
M. Finley4100%2.0 / 2
B. Bowen225%1.0 / 4
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony1647%8.0 / 17
J. Smith1542%7.5 / 18
C. Billups1246%6.0 / 13
Nene1250%6.0 / 12
K. Martin1255%6.0 / 11
L. Kleiza1083%5.0 / 6
C. Andersen770%3.5 / 5
A. Carter563%2.5 / 4
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+15
-13
94
DEN
77
+12
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 56.8%
DEN
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
110.2
SAS 117.4 +17.4
DEN 100.0
Pace
88.7
94.5
SAS 82.0
DEN 103.6 +21.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.7
SAS 17.6
DEN 13.9 −3.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
51.2%
SAS 55.5% +6.8%
DEN 48.7%
TO %
12.4%
15.8%
SAS 14.3%
DEN 13.6% −0.7%
ORB %
22.2%
27.5%
SAS 34.3% +12.1%
DEN 22.2%
FTrt
25.1
38.2
SAS 22.0
DEN 29.1 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
59.5%
SAS 65.9% +11.6%
DEN 54.3%
STL %
6.5%
9.1%
SAS 2.2%
DEN 7.7% +5.5%
BLK %
6.1%
9.7%
SAS 12.3%
DEN 12.5% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
54.8%
SAS 56.8% +6.2%
DEN 50.6%
Rim FG%
58.8%
60.5%
SAS 63.6% +12.2%
DEN 51.4%
Mid FG%
42.7%
38.7%
SAS 52.9% +19.6%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
38.6%
37.1%
SAS 34.6%
DEN 50.0% +15.4%
FT %
76.2%
76.0%
SAS 94.4% +33.5%
DEN 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
39.7%
SAS 26.8%
DEN 44.3% +17.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
37.6%
SAS 41.5%
DEN 38.0% −3.5%
3P Att. %
24.8%
22.7%
SAS 31.7% +14.0%
DEN 17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points10891
Rebounds4733
Assists2719
Steals27
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)23 (3)
Field Goals41-8235-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2218-35
Midrange FG18-3410-30
2-Point FG32-5628-65
3-Point FG9-267-14
Free Throws17-1814-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 33
38.6
21
66%
12
7
1
5
2
4
3
9
7-8
88%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 27
36.2
22
50%
1
8
0
0
7
1
0
1
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 31
29.8
21
88%
4
2
1
0
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
28.9
14
88%
8
0
0
2
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 225 · 36
13.9
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
31.9
2
25%
7
1
0
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.4
11
39%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-10
20%
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
19.4
11
55%
5
2
0
0
1
5
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
11.8
2
50%
3
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · G · 6'2" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
57%
47
27
2
8
13
0
12
35
17-18
94%
32-56
57%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.