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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Knicks30%10195
15Hawks70%10898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.3
43.3
37.3
13
49%
4
8
4
1
0
7
0
4
3-3
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
2-5
40%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
41.0
33.9
27
54%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
9-13
4-10
69%
45%
3-12
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.6
36.1
28.8
8
40%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
2-8
25%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
35.2
31.3
15
63%
5
3
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
3-4
75%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
34.1
38.7
15
80%
11
1
0
1
0
1
4
7
3-3
100%
6-8
7-12
75%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
16.4
7.5
6
43%
7
3
1
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
43%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.8
16.0
25.3
7
58%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.5
13.2
9.3
4
33%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.8
4.7
22.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.0
10.8
0
1-3
38%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.1
0.7
0
0-0
48%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.0
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.3
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
44.3
37.0
17
50%
5
7
1
1
0
6
0
5
0-0
-
7-10
6-11
70%
49%
1-7
14%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.5
38.1
34.0
18
57%
4
0
3
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.6
37.3
35.3
10
36%
6
9
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
2-8
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.0
34.6
26.2
16
56%
8
5
0
1
2
2
0
8
3-5
60%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
29.4
34.9
14
76%
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
6
4-5
80%
5-7
5-10
71%
53%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
28.1
23.0
11
55%
4
0
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
15.7
15.3
10
68%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.8
12.7
20.5
2
57%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
10.0
0
1-2
52%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.8
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.9
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.5
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.9
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.