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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1876ers33%9096
11Pistons67%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
36.8
38.5
14
57%
8
5
0
2
2
3
2
6
3-3
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
36.1
35.4
19
77%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
9-10
90%
5-8
6-13
63%
47%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
31.8
31.3
9
53%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
22.5
13.8
8
36%
6
1
0
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-11
2-5
36%
47%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
18.6
22.0
4
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
23.1
22.3
9
38%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
22.1
15.4
16
73%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
8-9
89%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
18.1
11.1
2
25%
5
1
2
0
3
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
13.6
2.4
8
67%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
13.4
4.6
7
61%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
3.9
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.7
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.5
40.2
34.3
17
51%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.8
35.9
29.5
19
60%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
48%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
34.5
33.0
12
43%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.2
33.3
35.9
7
44%
8
1
1
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.7
20.1
17.9
7
66%
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
1-3
33%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.6
25.9
26.4
16
68%
4
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
18.1
19.1
1
27%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.6
16.1
17.3
4
40%
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.8
15.9
13.7
8
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.4
7.7
0
1-1
52%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.9
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.