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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Clippers58%9781
29Grizzlies42%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.6
42.8
36.6
23
59%
0
8
3
2
0
4
0
0
5-8
63%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
4-9
44%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
41.6
38.4
21
66%
5
0
0
1
2
5
2
3
0-0
-
9-15
7-15
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
40.6
38.0
9
30%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-5
60%
3-12
6-13
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 19.9
39.0
31.0
7
45%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
35.5
35.3
15
89%
10
6
3
1
3
1
1
9
1-1
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.4
15.7
11.1
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
13.3
4.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.5
6.3
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-3
0%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 22.9
5.2
17.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.6
5.3
0
1-1
41%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.5
3.4
0
0-1
49%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.4
1.7
0
0-0
51%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
35.0
36.3
20
55%
3
4
2
1
0
6
2
1
1-3
33%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
33.7
38.5
25
70%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
50%
3-5
60%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
33.4
20.2
5
36%
9
0
3
0
2
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
24.0
19.1
6
44%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
16.3
16.9
4
33%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
27.7
20.6
14
60%
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
24.0
28.5
10
71%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-2
100%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
23.3
14.7
5
83%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
18.7
27.8
4
33%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
4.0
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
7.6
0
1-2
46%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
3.0
0
0-0
45%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.