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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 7, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Trail Blazers52%9798
18Raptors48%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.4
41.1
31.6
15
43%
5
7
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
38.2
32.5
20
53%
8
0
0
1
2
2
6
2
1-2
50%
8-16
7-14
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.8
32.9
26.0
19
68%
7
4
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
5-8
63%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.9
27.6
22.5
10
40%
10
0
0
1
2
2
5
5
4-6
67%
3-10
3-5
30%
52%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.0
14.4
18.0
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.7
26.1
24.0
16
86%
8
0
0
1
1
2
3
5
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.2
21.8
24.8
8
57%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.2
17.7
22.0
5
73%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.5
15.1
17.1
5
64%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.0
5.3
26.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.6
11.7
0
2-4
47%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.0
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
38.8
16.8
24
61%
8
2
0
0
6
2
1
7
4-4
100%
10-18
3-6
56%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
38.4
31.8
15
83%
3
13
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
3-5
60%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.5
34.9
25.4
8
57%
3
5
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.7
31.7
35.2
19
53%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-14
7-14
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
27.8
31.3
5
34%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
24.7
19.8
10
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
21.3
23.9
10
85%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
48%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.5
12.9
17.8
4
67%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
9.6
8.0
2
33%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
14.7
0
2-4
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
9.0
0
1-3
46%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 24.5
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.