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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pistons55%9694
20Wizards45%95107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
40.3
39.0
8
44%
11
1
0
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.5
37.9
37.8
13
48%
4
4
0
2
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.8
37.5
30.8
29
74%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
3-5
60%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.6
36.3
21.9
10
56%
1
11
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.2
26.7
32.7
19
86%
6
2
0
1
2
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
3-4
75%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.3
25.1
19.3
9
54%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
17.9
21.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
12.9
8.6
3
38%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.9
5.4
4.5
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.8
14.8
0
1-3
53%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.6
13.3
0
2-3
56%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.8
12.6
0
2-3
55%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
41.4
36.7
33
78%
5
6
1
2
0
2
1
4
14-14
100%
8-11
6-13
73%
49%
1-4
25%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
39.0
37.6
10
36%
11
4
3
1
0
1
2
9
2-4
50%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
32.6
29.1
3
19%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
6.2
13.0
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
4.8
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
28.0
19.6
15
54%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
23.9
7.7
16
91%
4
7
0
0
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
18.0
21.5
8
67%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
17.2
20.2
9
61%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
16.1
21.6
5
53%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
12.9
12.0
6
100%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
8.1
0
1-2
52%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.