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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs42%92133
6Mavericks58%95126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
50.4
29.0
32
67%
14
4
2
1
1
0
3
11
8-9
89%
12-20
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.6
47.8
26.7
29
51%
5
10
3
1
0
2
0
5
5-8
63%
12-25
6-13
48%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.4
41.9
24.3
18
41%
6
8
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
48%
2-9
22%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.8
37.1
21.8
13
43%
5
3
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
3-7
43%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
29.5
21.8
13
130%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
3-3
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
27.3
24.5
12
65%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.5
27.0
19.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.6
11.7
23.6
7
81%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.2
8.2
11.0
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
7.7
18.5
6
104%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
1.5
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
8.2
0
1-2
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.1
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.5
52.1
36.2
35
50%
10
2
0
1
1
2
0
10
3-5
60%
16-27
8-15
59%
50%
0-6
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.7
46.4
32.2
24
78%
8
12
2
2
1
3
2
6
1-1
100%
7-9
1-3
78%
43%
3-6
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
39.8
27.7
21
59%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
6-13
3-7
46%
45%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.4
37.2
19.7
9
97%
8
4
0
0
1
1
1
7
5-6
83%
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.3
24.0
22.6
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
46.0
34.6
19
60%
9
4
1
1
0
6
1
8
4-4
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
52%
3-6
50%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
17.7
6.6
7
90%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
14.2
16.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.6
12.6
19.4
9
67%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
19.0
0
2-5
49%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.