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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks24%96110
7Suns76%105125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
43.9
26.1
22
51%
3
2
3
1
1
2
0
3
3-6
50%
8-15
4-8
53%
48%
1-4
25%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
41.7
28.7
23
59%
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
6-14
4-8
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
32.3
26.4
9
32%
5
10
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
44%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
26.4
27.5
15
76%
11
0
1
1
1
0
5
6
1-2
50%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
15.2
21.2
4
29%
2
1
2
1
0
3
2
0
0-2
0%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
32.9
20.6
24
72%
9
1
1
0
0
2
4
5
4-4
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
47%
2-3
67%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
18.6
22.8
9
38%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
10.4
10.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
8.9
16.3
4
100%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
5.3
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
2.2
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
2.1
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
36.1
26.4
14
89%
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.1
35.0
36.9
22
64%
8
2
3
1
0
2
3
5
5-5
100%
7-14
8-14
50%
57%
1-1
100%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.8
34.0
24.0
35
72%
8
1
0
0
3
1
3
5
7-12
58%
14-19
4-8
74%
58%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.8
31.4
33.1
19
89%
4
10
1
1
0
5
1
3
6-6
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
54%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.2
27.4
22.3
11
72%
4
1
0
1
2
3
0
4
5-6
83%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.0
20.9
27.3
15
61%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.8
20.8
30.3
5
51%
1
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
20.2
26.6
4
52%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
7.7
8.0
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.7
2.2
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.0
2.2
3.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
2.1
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.