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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers81%108101
27Kings19%97113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.4
43.0
32.1
25
66%
12
3
0
1
3
3
7
5
7-9
78%
9-15
6-10
60%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
38.2
32.9
28
50%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
7-7
100%
6-17
8-15
35%
52%
3-8
38%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.3
31.6
25.6
9
53%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
22.1
22.1
8
51%
3
2
0
1
2
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.1
20.9
30.7
8
54%
4
1
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-1
0%
4-7
6-10
57%
60%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
27.4
23.7
11
63%
8
2
0
1
2
3
1
7
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
25.9
24.1
4
20%
6
4
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
55%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
16.4
20.9
8
51%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
9.8
15.2
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
2.5
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
2.3
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.0
39.9
31.9
21
71%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
2-3
67%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
36.4
21.3
21
54%
3
0
1
1
1
3
2
1
2-3
67%
8-14
2-5
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.6
33.3
31.9
11
37%
9
3
0
1
2
1
3
6
3-4
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
33.0
24.6
13
74%
7
5
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
29.6
33.0
12
41%
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.7
17.8
12.2
15
86%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
3-6
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.4
15.9
23.6
4
33%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.1
13.8
9.4
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.8
11.7
13.4
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.2
8.7
15.7
5
63%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
6.8
0
1-2
42%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
4.7
0
1-1
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.4
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.