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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks28%100121
15Nets72%108109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
45.7
37.0
39
70%
13
3
2
1
0
4
2
11
15-16
94%
9-14
5-11
64%
46%
2-7
29%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
42.4
36.0
24
90%
9
3
1
1
1
1
2
7
3-3
100%
9-10
4-9
90%
48%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.7
41.0
35.3
9
27%
8
3
3
1
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
42%
0-6
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.3
38.4
42.3
10
45%
2
10
1
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
24.1
35.7
10
63%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
6-11
57%
56%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.8
31.1
21.1
26
89%
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
5-8
63%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
17.3
17.2
3
61%
1
0
0
1
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.5
8.8
0
1-2
48%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.8
7.6
0
1-1
45%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.0
4.4
0
1-1
38%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.1
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.3
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.0
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
39.3
36.5
18
65%
7
6
1
1
1
3
0
7
1-4
25%
4-7
6-12
57%
50%
3-5
60%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
36.2
33.6
32
65%
0
7
0
1
0
5
0
0
6-6
100%
10-16
6-11
63%
53%
2-6
33%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.5
36.0
22.2
11
55%
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.1
28.3
27.6
13
60%
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-2
0%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
25.9
27.3
8
57%
6
1
0
1
4
5
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
26.4
26.0
10
71%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
18.3
23.3
6
47%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
12.1
15.9
5
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
12.1
13.2
4
41%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
5.4
6.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.8
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.