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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats25%8689
9Hornets75%95105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.4
37.1
14.5
2
14%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
40%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.1
37.1
26.8
28
79%
2
7
4
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
42%
4-4
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
27.8
34.6
5
34%
8
0
0
1
3
4
2
6
1-3
33%
2-6
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.5
23.1
34.7
6
25%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-10
4-10
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.7
18.3
18.1
7
39%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
25.3
4.7
10
53%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-5
0-1
40%
42%
2-4
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
21.4
8.2
5
30%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
43%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.6
19.6
4.6
12
61%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
5-9
1-1
56%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
14.5
5.2
8
100%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
10.4
10.3
6
44%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 25.5
5.5
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.9
33.0
1
4-10
46%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
32.3
2
4-8
49%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
25.9
1
2-5
48%
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
30.5
34.2
15
111%
4
15
2
2
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-4
6-11
100%
53%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
29.1
31.5
17
74%
8
4
0
1
1
3
2
6
1-1
100%
8-11
6-12
73%
51%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
26.8
29.1
17
77%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
5-6
83%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
25.4
22.5
6
29%
3
1
1
0
3
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
23.9
26.2
13
53%
11
2
1
0
3
0
6
5
3-5
60%
5-10
3-5
50%
61%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
22.0
21.9
4
41%
5
4
0
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
20.3
22.8
7
70%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
18.9
13.2
6
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
18.1
14.0
16
74%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
4-5
80%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
15.1
15.4
2
50%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
5.0
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
5.0
6.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.