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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies54%98108
30Thunder46%96102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
34.1
27.9
22
51%
6
1
4
1
2
4
2
4
6-6
100%
5-15
5-10
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
28.5
22.6
8
51%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
27.1
32.5
18
69%
2
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
7-7
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
26.1
18.4
7
60%
4
0
0
0
4
1
3
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
15.2
18.8
6
43%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
29.8
19.4
11
69%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
25.6
27.8
5
37%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-4
25%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
19.5
24.9
16
75%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
4-5
3-5
80%
47%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
18.8
12.8
6
60%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
15.3
26.1
9
59%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.2
40.5
38.0
28
61%
5
3
1
1
2
6
0
5
8-11
73%
7-14
7-15
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
32.7
32.2
15
64%
3
6
2
2
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
5-12
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
30.0
36.3
13
60%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.9
16.9
20.7
8
98%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
6.4
24.0
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.5
34.8
25.0
4
67%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
33.3
19.6
10
67%
8
2
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-1
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
52%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.2
24.0
24.3
10
54%
5
0
0
1
3
1
0
5
2-3
67%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.4
21.4
8.7
10
56%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.9
8.9
0
1-3
47%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.8
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
1.4
0
0-0
51%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.0
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.