Final Win Prob. pScore
1625%89
89
375%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
101.18891.0
SAS logo Spurs
109.28784.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL89
95
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound89
95
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
95
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
95
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Bonner89
94
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
94
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLHorford P.FOUL (P4.PN)89
93
Q4 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Hill89
93
Q4 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Bowen89
93
Q4 - 0:06.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)89
93
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (29 PTS)89
93
Q4 - 0:14.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)87
93
Q4 - 0:14.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)87
92
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMurray P.FOUL (P5.PN)87
91
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLBibby 1' Layup (9 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
90
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMurray P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
89
Q4 - 0:20.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
89
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Murray 1' Layup85
89
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)85
89
Q4 - 0:32.0SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)85
89
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
87
Q4 - 1:00SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)83
87
Q4 - 1:18ATLMurray 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)83
87
Q4 - 1:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)81
87
Q4 - 1:31SASSPURS Rebound81
86
Q4 - 1:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 281
86
Q4 - 1:31ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.PN)81
86
Q4 - 1:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
86
Q4 - 1:31SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot81
86
Q4 - 1:53ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)81
86
Q4 - 1:57ATLSUB: Williams FOR Evans78
86
Q4 - 1:5778
86
Q4 - 1:57ATLHawks Rebound78
86
Q4 - 1:57ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot78
86
Q4 - 2:13SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
86
Q4 - 2:39ATLJohnson 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)78
83
Q4 - 2:45SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)76
83
Q4 - 3:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
83
Q4 - 3:01ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
83
Q4 - 3:13SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)76
83
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)76
81
Q4 - 3:27SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)76
80
Q4 - 3:27ATLHorford T.FOUL (P2.T4)76
79
Q4 - 3:27ATLBibby T.FOUL (P3.T4)76
79
Q4 - 3:27ATLHorford P.FOUL (P2.T4)76
79
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
79
Q4 - 3:35ATLMISS Bibby 7' Jump Shot76
79
Q4 - 3:49SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
79
Q4 - 4:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)76
79
Q4 - 4:00SASHill S.FOUL (P3.T4)75
79
Q4 - 4:00ATLJohnson 10' Pullup Bank Shot (22 PTS)75
79
Q4 - 4:16SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)73
79
Q4 - 4:40ATLMurray 1' Layup (12 PTS)73
77
Q4 - 4:45SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)71
77
Q4 - 5:07SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
77
Q4 - 5:07ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
77
Q4 - 5:23SASFinley 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
77
Q4 - 5:34ATLEvans P.FOUL (P2.T3)71
75
Q4 - 5:53ATLJohnson 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)71
75
Q4 - 6:00SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)69
75
Q4 - 6:11SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
75
Q4 - 6:12ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
75
Q4 - 6:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
75
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot69
75
Q4 - 6:34SASFinley 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)69
75
Q4 - 6:49ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
73
Q4 - 6:49ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
73
Q4 - 6:49SASHill IN.FOUL (P2.T3)67
73
Q4 - 6:49ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)67
73
Q4 - 7:12SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)67
73
Q4 - 7:28SASSUB: Finley FOR Mason Jr.67
70
Q4 - 7:28SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker67
70
Q4 - 7:28SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)67
70
Q4 - 7:32ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)67
70
Q4 - 7:37ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
70
Q4 - 7:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot64
70
Q4 - 7:53ATLEvans P.FOUL (P1.T2)64
70
Q4 - 8:08ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)64
70
Q4 - 8:24SASGinobili P.FOUL (P4.T2)61
70
Q4 - 8:24SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)61
70
Q4 - 8:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
70
Q4 - 8:33ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup61
70
Q4 - 8:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
70
Q4 - 8:51SASSPURS Rebound61
69
Q4 - 8:51SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 261
69
Q4 - 8:51ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T1)61
69
Q4 - 9:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
69
Q4 - 9:02ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 261
69
Q4 - 9:02SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka61
69
Q4 - 9:02SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto61
69
Q4 - 9:02ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
69
Q4 - 9:02SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T1)60
69
Q4 - 9:08SASOberto Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)60
69
Q4 - 9:26ATLMurray 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)60
69
Q4 - 9:29SASUdoka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)58
69
Q4 - 9:32SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
69
Q4 - 9:33ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot58
69
Q4 - 9:53SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
69
Q4 - 9:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
66
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot58
66
Q4 - 10:16ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)58
66
Q4 - 10:29ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia55
66
Q4 - 10:29SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bonner55
66
Q4 - 10:29SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili55
66
Q4 - 10:29ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Law55
66
Q4 - 10:29ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)55
66
Q4 - 10:34SASParker 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
66
Q4 - 10:57SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
64
Q4 - 10:58ATLMISS Law 15' Jump Shot55
64
Q4 - 11:22SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
64
Q4 - 11:39ATLLaw Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)55
62
Q4 - 12:0055
62
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS55
62
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound55
62
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 45' 3PT Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
62
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLHawks Rebound54
62
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 254
62
Q3 - 0:03.0SASGinobili S.FOUL (P3.PN)54
62
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
62
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 0:40.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
62
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Evans 1' Layup54
62
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
62
Q3 - 0:46.0SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 1:08ATLEvans 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 1:16SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)52
62
Q3 - 1:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
62
Q3 - 1:24SASSPURS Rebound52
61
Q3 - 1:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 252
61
Q3 - 1:24ATLLaw L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)52
61
Q3 - 1:24SASSPURS Rebound52
61
Q3 - 1:25SASMISS Bowen 10' Running Jump Shot52
61
Q3 - 1:39SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)52
61
Q3 - 1:43ATLPachulia 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Law 1 AST)52
61
Q3 - 2:01SASBowen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)50
61
Q3 - 2:19ATLMurray 1' Dunk (7 PTS)50
61
Q3 - 2:25SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)48
61
Q3 - 2:41ATLEvans 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
61
Q3 - 3:05SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)46
61
Q3 - 3:18ATLSUB: Law FOR Bibby46
59
Q3 - 3:18ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)46
59
Q3 - 3:27SASHill 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)46
59
Q3 - 3:43ATLPachulia 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)46
57
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
57
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
56
Q3 - 3:59ATLMurray S.FOUL (P3.PN)44
55
Q3 - 4:05ATLSUB: Evans FOR Smith44
55
Q3 - 4:05SASSPURS Rebound44
55
Q3 - 4:05SASMISS Hill 2' Layup44
55
Q3 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
55
Q3 - 4:10ATLMISS Smith 4' Running Jump Shot44
55
Q3 - 4:19SASSUB: Finley FOR Bonner44
55
Q3 - 4:19ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)44
55
Q3 - 4:29SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)44
55
Q3 - 4:40ATLSUB: Murray FOR Johnson44
52
Q3 - 4:40ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T4)44
52
Q3 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
52
Q3 - 4:49ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
52
Q3 - 4:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
52
Q3 - 5:00SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot44
52
Q3 - 5:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
52
Q3 - 5:15ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot44
52
Q3 - 5:33ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
52
Q3 - 5:35SASMISS Bonner 17' Jump Shot44
52
Q3 - 5:46SASSUB: Bowen FOR Mason Jr.44
52
Q3 - 5:46SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker44
52
Q3 - 5:46SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)44
52
Q3 - 5:50ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)44
52
Q3 - 6:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
52
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 242
52
Q3 - 6:15SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley42
52
Q3 - 6:15SASSPURS Rebound42
52
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 242
52
Q3 - 6:15ATLBibby S.FOUL (P3.T3)42
52
Q3 - 6:20SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)42
52
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot42
52
Q3 - 6:29ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
52
Q3 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot42
52
Q3 - 6:43ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford42
52
Q3 - 6:43ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)42
52
Q3 - 6:49ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)42
52
Q3 - 6:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
52
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
52
Q3 - 7:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)39
52
Q3 - 7:06ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)39
52
Q3 - 7:24SASDuncan 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)39
52
Q3 - 7:48ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)39
50
Q3 - 8:13SASDuncan 3' Layup (10 PTS)39
50
Q3 - 8:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
48
Q3 - 8:32ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot39
48
Q3 - 8:54SASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)39
48
Q3 - 9:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
46
Q3 - 9:08ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Bank Shot39
46
Q3 - 9:22ATLHawks Rebound39
46
Q3 - 9:24SASMISS Bonner 3' Jump Shot39
46
Q3 - 9:26SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)39
46
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot39
46
Q3 - 9:34ATLJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)39
46
Q3 - 9:52ATLHawks Rebound39
46
Q3 - 9:52SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot39
46
Q3 - 9:54ATLBibby P.FOUL (P2.T1)39
46
Q3 - 10:15ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
46
Q3 - 10:26SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T1)37
46
Q3 - 10:41SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)37
46
Q3 - 10:44SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
43
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot37
43
Q3 - 11:07ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)37
43
Q3 - 11:26ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
43
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Bank Shot35
43
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
43
Q3 - 11:42SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot35
43
Q3 - 12:0035
43
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL35
43
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
43
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot35
43
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLSUB: Evans FOR Bibby35
43
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Hill35
43
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto35
43
Q2 - 0:05.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)35
43
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLBibby P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
43
Q2 - 0:08.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
43
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 135
43
Q2 - 0:09.0SASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
43
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLJohnson 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)35
43
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBonner 2' Layup (9 PTS)33
43
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)33
41
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot33
41
Q2 - 0:38.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
41
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Bibby 8' Floating Jump Shot33
41
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)33
41
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)33
41
Q2 - 0:52.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
38
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 8' Turnaround Jump Shot33
38
Q2 - 1:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
38
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Oberto 5' Jump Shot33
38
Q2 - 1:32ATLJohnson 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)33
38
Q2 - 1:49SASBonner 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
38
Q2 - 1:51SASBonner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)31
36
Q2 - 1:52SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot31
36
Q2 - 2:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
36
Q2 - 2:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 2:14SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley29
36
Q2 - 2:14ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Law29
36
Q2 - 2:14SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker29
36
Q2 - 2:14SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan29
36
Q2 - 2:14ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)29
36
Q2 - 2:14SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
36
Q2 - 2:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
36
Q2 - 2:19SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot29
36
Q2 - 2:43ATLLaw 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
36
Q2 - 2:48SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)27
36
Q2 - 3:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
36
Q2 - 3:06ATLMISS Law 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 3:30SASParker 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 3:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)27
34
Q2 - 3:49ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
34
Q2 - 3:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
34
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup27
34
Q2 - 4:18ATLBonner STEAL (1 STL)27
34
Q2 - 4:35SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
34
Q2 - 4:35SASParker OFF.Foul (P1)27
34
Q2 - 4:42SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili27
34
Q2 - 4:59ATLWilliams 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)27
34
Q2 - 5:19ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
34
Q2 - 5:20SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 5:31ATLSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
34
Q2 - 5:50ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
34
Q2 - 5:50SASSUB: Bonner FOR Thomas24
34
Q2 - 5:5024
34
Q2 - 5:50SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.T4)24
34
Q2 - 5:50ATLHorford 3' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
34
Q2 - 5:53SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)22
34
Q2 - 6:10ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
34
Q2 - 6:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
34
Q2 - 6:10ATLSUB: Williams FOR Murray20
34
Q2 - 6:10SASThomas S.FOUL (P1.T3)20
34
Q2 - 6:24SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)20
34
Q2 - 6:26ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)20
34
Q2 - 6:38SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
34
Q2 - 6:39SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
34
Q2 - 6:45SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34
Q2 - 6:47ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot20
34
Q2 - 7:05SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)20
34
Q2 - 7:27ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
31
Q2 - 7:27SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T1)19
31
Q2 - 7:27ATLLaw 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)19
31
Q2 - 7:43SASGinobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)17
31
Q2 - 7:52ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia17
29
Q2 - 7:52ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Evans17
29
Q2 - 7:52SASSUB: Finley FOR Mason Jr.17
29
Q2 - 7:52SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen17
29
Q2 - 7:52SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto17
29
Q2 - 7:52SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
29
Q2 - 7:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
29
Q2 - 7:59ATLMISS Law 17' Jump Shot17
29
Q2 - 8:23SASThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)17
29
Q2 - 8:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27
Q2 - 8:31ATLOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)17
27
Q2 - 8:50SASMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
27
Q2 - 9:10SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
27
Q2 - 9:12ATLMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot17
27
Q2 - 9:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
27
Q2 - 9:23SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot17
27
Q2 - 9:47ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
27
Q2 - 9:47ATLMurray OFF.Foul (P2)17
27
Q2 - 10:02SASMason Jr. 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
27
Q2 - 10:15ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)17
25
Q2 - 10:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
25
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Oberto 12' Jump Shot17
25
Q2 - 10:44SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
25
Q2 - 10:46SASMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot17
25
Q2 - 10:57SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
25
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot17
25
Q2 - 11:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
25
Q2 - 11:18SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
25
Q2 - 11:28SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25
Q2 - 11:29ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot17
25
Q2 - 11:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
25
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot17
25
Q2 - 12:0017
25
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
25
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound17
25
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 0:09.0SASHill P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
25
Q1 - 0:20.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
25
Q1 - 0:20.0SASSPURS Rebound14
24
Q1 - 0:20.0SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 214
24
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
24
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLPachulia 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)14
24
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24
Q1 - 0:42.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
24
Q1 - 0:42.0SASMISS Oberto 2' Layup12
24
Q1 - 0:44.0SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot12
24
Q1 - 1:12ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
24
Q1 - 1:29SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
24
Q1 - 1:29ATLSUB: Law FOR Williams10
23
Q1 - 1:29SASSPURS Rebound10
23
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 210
23
Q1 - 1:29ATLMurray S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
23
Q1 - 1:33ATLHill STEAL (1 STL)10
23
Q1 - 1:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
23
Q1 - 1:38ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot10
23
Q1 - 2:01SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
23
Q1 - 2:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
20
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot10
20
Q1 - 2:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot10
20
Q1 - 2:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)10
20
Q1 - 2:50SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
20
Q1 - 3:01SASSPURS Rebound10
20
Q1 - 3:02SASMISS Hill 3' Driving Layup10
20
Q1 - 3:14ATLMurray 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
20
Q1 - 3:33ATLSUB: Horford FOR Smith8
20
Q1 - 3:33ATLSUB: Murray FOR Bibby8
20
Q1 - 3:33SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley8
20
Q1 - 3:33SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan8
20
Q1 - 3:33ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)8
20
Q1 - 3:43SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)8
20
Q1 - 3:52SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)8
17
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 4:06SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
17
Q1 - 4:08ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 4:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
17
Q1 - 4:12ATLBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)8
17
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan 3' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
17
Q1 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
15
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot8
15
Q1 - 5:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15
Q1 - 5:03ATLFinley BLOCK (2 BLK)8
15
Q1 - 5:16ATLSUB: Evans FOR Johnson8
15
Q1 - 5:16SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
15
Q1 - 5:36SASFinley 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)8
15
Q1 - 5:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13
Q1 - 5:52ATLMISS Bibby 6' Jump Bank Shot8
13
Q1 - 6:07SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Mason Jr.8
13
Q1 - 6:07ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
13
Q1 - 6:17SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)8
13
Q1 - 6:23SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Bank Shot8
11
Q1 - 6:35SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)8
11
Q1 - 6:47ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford8
9
Q1 - 6:47SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker8
9
Q1 - 6:47ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
9
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:13SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
9
Q1 - 7:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
7
Q1 - 7:29ATLJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 7:30ATLFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)6
7
Q1 - 7:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup6
7
Q1 - 7:50SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
7
Q1 - 7:52ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 8:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7
Q1 - 8:05SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 8:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
7
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 8:35SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
5
Q1 - 8:39SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 8:50ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
5
Q1 - 9:08SASBonner 1' Layup (5 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 9:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
3
Q1 - 9:12SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Reverse Layup6
3
Q1 - 9:36ATLSmith 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)6
3
Q1 - 10:00SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 10:18SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:19ATLMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:41SASMISS Bonner 3' Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
0
Q1 - 10:49SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 11:06ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:18SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
0
Q1 - 11:45ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
24
63%
SAS
11
25
44%
Midrange
ATL
15
34
44%
SAS
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
SAS
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
11
14
79%
SAS
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2973%14.5 / 20
R. Murray1777%8.5 / 11
M. Bibby938%4.5 / 12
A. Horford844%4.0 / 9
M. Evans750%3.5 / 7
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
A. Law550%2.5 / 5
M. Williams429%2.0 / 7
J. Smith433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2796%13.5 / 14
T. Duncan1950%9.5 / 19
M. Finley1563%7.5 / 12
R. Mason Jr.1056%5.0 / 9
M. Bonner956%4.5 / 8
G. Hill750%3.5 / 7
T. Parker621%3.0 / 14
K. Thomas250%1.0 / 2
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
78
+6
-10
84
SAS
71
+20
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
108.3
ATL 101.1
SAS 109.2 +8.1
Pace
89.8
88.7
ATL 91.0 +6.8
SAS 84.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.5
ATL 15.8 −1.3
SAS 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.3%
ATL 50.6%
SAS 50.6%
TO %
13.6%
12.4%
ATL 10.7% −5.4%
SAS 16.1%
ORB %
26.0%
22.2%
ATL 9.8%
SAS 39.5% +29.7%
FTrt
32.3
25.1
ATL 18.2
SAS 27.8 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
57.1%
ATL 52.8% +1.4%
SAS 51.4%
STL %
8.2%
6.5%
ATL 13.6% +10.2%
SAS 3.4%
BLK %
7.4%
6.1%
ATL 18.6% +10.0%
SAS 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
53.4%
ATL 53.0% +1.4%
SAS 51.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
58.8%
ATL 62.5% +18.5%
SAS 44.0%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.7%
ATL 44.1% +2.9%
SAS 41.2%
3P %
36.6%
38.6%
ATL 31.6%
SAS 50.0% +18.4%
FT %
73.8%
76.2%
ATL 78.6% +10.4%
SAS 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.3%
ATL 31.2%
SAS 31.6% +0.5%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
44.9%
ATL 44.2%
SAS 43.0% −1.1%
3P Att. %
25.3%
24.8%
ATL 24.7%
SAS 25.3% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8995
Rebounds2752
Assists1918
Steals123
Blocks115
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)37 (0)
Field Goals36-7735-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2411-25
Midrange FG15-3414-34
2-Point FG30-5825-59
3-Point FG6-1910-20
Free Throws11-1415-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'8" 240 · 23
36.5
8
44%
7
0
0
4
3
4
2
5
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
33.9
29
73%
2
6
2
2
2
3
1
1
1-2
50%
11-15
73%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
30.6
4
29%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
29.8
9
38%
4
7
2
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
24.2
4
33%
3
2
1
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
26.1
17
77%
1
3
4
2
1
5
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
23.6
7
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
19.1
6
60%
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
16.1
5
50%
1
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
53%
27
19
12
11
10
0
4
23
11-14
79%
30-58
52%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.