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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks36%10296
21Warriors64%107119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
39.7
34.3
27
61%
4
1
0
1
0
4
1
3
8-9
89%
8-13
5-11
62%
48%
1-5
20%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
39.5
33.4
17
61%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
3-5
60%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
28.8
27.2
10
63%
9
1
0
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
26.6
28.7
13
50%
2
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
26.0
18.8
4
23%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
32.5
25.8
9
35%
11
1
0
1
4
2
1
10
2-4
50%
2-9
6-11
22%
48%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
19.6
21.3
7
44%
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
13.8
8.9
7
70%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
10.8
11.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
2.8
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
13.5
0
2-4
49%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
10.4
0
1-3
45%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
41.0
19.4
21
39%
5
8
4
1
0
2
0
5
6-9
67%
6-15
2-5
40%
47%
1-8
13%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.6
36.1
22.1
19
74%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
30.3
34.5
4
25%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
30.1
19.6
16
62%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
27.4
32.0
18
77%
14
2
1
1
4
0
4
10
6-6
100%
6-9
6-10
67%
60%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
22.7
29.7
13
63%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
2-3
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.9
22.4
21.0
11
103%
5
2
0
0
4
3
1
4
3-3
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
20.5
12.2
15
78%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.4
6.8
15.8
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
2.8
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
19.3
1
3-6
49%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
1.7
0
0-0
44%
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.