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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics73%99122
20Wizards27%9188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.2
35.4
37.0
22
64%
6
8
2
1
1
3
2
4
12-12
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
31.4
35.6
22
77%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
4-7
57%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
26.9
33.6
11
48%
12
7
2
1
1
5
3
9
1-1
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.1
24.9
31.3
12
61%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
5-8
4-6
63%
58%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
23.8
32.7
11
63%
2
6
3
2
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.9
24.9
12.9
9
77%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.9
20.8
19.8
10
60%
3
1
5
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
17.8
15.9
14
88%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
4-5
80%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
12.9
13.0
7
61%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
8.5
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.6
6.3
2.7
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
6.3
2.3
2
100%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.2
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
36.6
38.2
19
63%
3
4
1
2
1
2
0
3
7-7
100%
6-10
6-13
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
33.7
15.3
17
62%
2
7
4
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
42%
1-4
25%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
33.2
37.6
17
52%
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
26.0
9.8
11
64%
6
0
0
0
3
2
3
3
3-6
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
22.2
30.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
19.2
23.0
9
60%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
18.3
18.8
4
35%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
15.8
19.9
4
100%
3
0
1
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
12.0
12.3
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
10.6
1.9
1
7%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
0-0
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
6.6
5.5
1
57%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
5.8
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.