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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats16%8790
6Mavericks84%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.1
42.9
30.5
9
27%
3
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-12
3-7
17%
41%
1-4
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
41.0
31.9
27
70%
17
0
0
1
3
1
4
13
3-5
60%
12-17
4-9
71%
51%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.5
40.7
30.3
16
43%
5
6
3
1
0
1
1
4
4-6
67%
6-14
4-9
43%
42%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
28.7
13.0
8
67%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
21.2
8.7
7
93%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.4
19.2
23.2
9
65%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
39%
1-2
50%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.7
14.9
18.3
6
50%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
14.9
10.4
6
60%
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
12.4
13.5
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.6
4.0
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
22.9
1
3-6
48%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 25.5
6.3
0
0-1
49%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.5
39.5
39.0
23
53%
13
5
1
1
0
2
2
11
2-2
100%
6-15
8-16
40%
51%
3-6
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.7
35.7
34.4
12
55%
2
7
3
2
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
33.9
29.7
8
51%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.4
29.0
24.9
9
101%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.3
23.6
21.0
4
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
33.0
35.8
26
67%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
7-8
88%
5-9
6-11
56%
53%
3-7
43%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.6
23.9
15.0
11
44%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
1-1
100%
5-12
3-5
42%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
18.1
11.4
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
3.3
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
10.9
0
1-3
50%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
2.8
0
0-0
51%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.