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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Raptors37%98101
15Nets63%10379
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.9
32.1
27.4
16
53%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
4-9
44%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.7
30.8
33.4
18
81%
5
3
1
1
0
4
1
4
6-7
86%
6-8
7-14
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
30.5
29.0
7
34%
2
3
1
0
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
29.0
32.6
13
63%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
2-4
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.5
28.4
21.4
8
40%
9
1
5
1
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
29.9
23.4
16
75%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
50%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
28.4
27.1
11
44%
7
1
0
0
4
0
2
5
6-6
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
1-5
20%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
19.1
11.9
10
108%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 24.5
5.9
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
5.8
7.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.5
20.3
1
2-3
47%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
4.8
0
1-2
46%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
34.4
34.2
14
52%
5
5
0
1
1
4
1
4
6-8
75%
4-9
6-11
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
29.0
37.2
3
10%
4
3
0
1
0
3
3
1
3-4
75%
0-11
6-11
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
26.9
26.2
6
38%
8
1
1
1
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.5
25.9
28.8
12
50%
7
1
0
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
4-9
44%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.1
24.1
27.4
14
51%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
30.6
3.2
10
71%
7
3
0
0
1
2
7
0
0-0
-
5-7
0-0
71%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
16.7
20.4
8
32%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
1-7
14%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
14.8
24.3
4
100%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
13.3
14.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
10.7
3.2
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.8
7.3
1.3
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
45%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
6.3
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.