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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets29%8782
1Celtics71%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
42.6
30.0
23
46%
14
1
0
1
3
0
4
10
7-9
78%
8-20
6-12
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
41.7
31.8
20
49%
6
14
3
2
0
3
2
4
10-10
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
50%
0-3
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
29.7
27.4
2
17%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
28.6
24.2
5
34%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
1-3
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
24.9
15.2
8
37%
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
3-9
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
28.3
21.0
7
38%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
17.1
21.6
8
69%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
11.1
6.4
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
9.4
16.1
4
50%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
4.5
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
2.0
6.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
18.8
0
1-2
45%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.2
43.3
35.8
28
64%
6
6
2
1
0
2
0
6
8-11
73%
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
35.9
32.8
9
44%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
33.7
29.6
19
81%
10
0
0
1
1
3
1
9
3-4
75%
8-10
6-11
80%
51%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
31.7
27.9
10
39%
6
2
1
2
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.1
31.3
27.9
9
46%
13
1
0
0
3
2
6
7
1-4
25%
4-8
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
17.2
17.0
9
75%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.9
17.2
20.5
3
28%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.9
15.9
19.5
1
13%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
14.0
13.3
6
77%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
8.9
0
0-1
39%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.7
5.1
0
1-1
47%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
4.6
0
1-1
50%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.2
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.1
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.