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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bulls56%9996
29Grizzlies44%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
44.7
37.9
12
42%
4
11
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-1
0%
6-11
7-13
55%
50%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
37.3
39.0
19
48%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
5-6
83%
7-16
7-14
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
31.2
31.6
10
45%
13
2
2
1
0
3
3
10
0-0
-
5-11
6-11
45%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
28.3
39.5
26
78%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
5-11
25%
48%
7-11
64%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
23.1
13.6
4
67%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
30.0
27.5
12
76%
5
1
1
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
3-7
100%
43%
2-5
40%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
17.8
14.4
4
69%
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
14.6
21.7
7
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
7.2
9.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
6.0
3.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
2.5
0
0-0
42%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
44.6
30.2
29
65%
4
2
3
1
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
10-16
6-11
63%
49%
2-5
40%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
35.0
21.3
13
51%
11
1
1
0
2
1
6
5
3-4
75%
5-11
2-5
45%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
33.9
30.0
14
44%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
31.8
26.5
11
60%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-5
60%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
20.7
24.7
3
23%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
29.2
21.6
21
76%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
9-12
4-7
75%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
27.3
22.6
9
37%
10
7
0
1
0
1
1
9
2-3
67%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
14.7
22.8
3
150%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
1-1
100%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
2.9
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
17.2
1
3-6
46%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.