Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	12%	95	103	108.4	95	97.5
	2	Lakers	88%	111	112	115.5	97	94.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 29	42.9	26	57%	4	6	3	0	3	4	2	2	9-11	82%	7-14	50%	1-5	20%
Francisco Garcia G · 6'7" 215 · 27	35.9	13	72%	5	3	1	2	1	5	0	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 26	34.5	17	61%	1	7	1	0	1	4	0	1	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Spencer Hawes F · 7'1" 245 · 21	29.6	11	55%	6	1	1	0	3	5	2	4	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	1-1	100%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 33	21.9	8	44%	5	2	1	1	2	4	0	5	2-5	40%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Jason Thompson F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.8	9	45%	8	3	0	0	2	2	2	6	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33	21.7	3	38%	4	1	0	1	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 36	13.6	7	70%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 24	10.5	7	70%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 21	6.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Quincy Douby G · 6'3" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shelden Williams C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenny Thomas #9 · C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	39	24	7	4	16	0	8	31	23-32	72%	31-60	52%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 29	42.9	26	57%	4	6	3	0	3	4	2	2	9-11	82%	7-14	50%	1-5	20%
Francisco Garcia G · 6'7" 215 · 27	35.9	13	72%	5	3	1	2	1	5	0	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 26	34.5	17	61%	1	7	1	0	1	4	0	1	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Spencer Hawes F · 7'1" 245 · 21	29.6	11	55%	6	1	1	0	3	5	2	4	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	1-1	100%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 33	21.9	8	44%	5	2	1	1	2	4	0	5	2-5	40%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Jason Thompson F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.8	9	45%	8	3	0	0	2	2	2	6	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Mikki Moore F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33	21.7	3	38%	4	1	0	1	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 36	13.6	7	70%	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	4	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 24	10.5	7	70%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 21	6.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Quincy Douby G · 6'3" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shelden Williams C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenny Thomas #9 · C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	39	24	7	4	16	0	8	31	23-32	72%	31-60	52%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 30	39.4	32	64%	7	3	0	1	4	2	2	5	8-10	80%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 28	37.1	18	53%	11	4	0	0	2	1	2	9	4-4	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 34	25.3	11	79%	2	3	2	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Luke Walton F · 6'8" 235 · 29	24.9	4	29%	1	8	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 21	24.4	8	36%	10	0	0	0	3	6	2	8	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 29	27.9	9	90%	4	1	0	2	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 22	22.8	7	44%	2	1	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23	20.3	13	65%	5	2	0	0	0	1	2	3	2-6	33%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 25	13.8	7	58%	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 26	4.2	3	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-5	20%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Mihm C · 7'0" 265 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sun Sun #9 · G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DJ Mbenga #28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	46	23	7	4	11	0	10	36	21-35	60%	35-69	51%	7-15	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.11 55.4%

LAL

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

19

34

56%

LAL

18

29

62%

Midrange

SAC

12

26

46%

LAL

17

40

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

LAL

7

10.5

15

47%

70%

Free Throws

SAC

23

32

72%

LAL

21

35

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Salmons	26	57%	13.0 / 23
B. Udrih	17	61%	8.5 / 14
F. Garcia	13	72%	6.5 / 9
S. Hawes	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Thompson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Miller	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Jackson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Brown	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Moore	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Greene	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	32	64%	16.0 / 25
P. Gasol	18	53%	9.0 / 17
T. Ariza	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Fisher	11	79%	5.5 / 7
L. Odom	9	90%	4.5 / 5
A. Bynum	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Farmar	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Vujacic	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Walton	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Powell	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 105.3 3 112.4	SAC 108.4 LAL 115.5 +7.0
Pace	7 94.5 5 94.7	SAC 97.5 +2.8 LAL 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	23 15.1 24 15.1	SAC 14.8 −0.4 LAL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 49.1% 6 51.3%	SAC 50.6% LAL 54.2% +3.6%
TO %	24 15.5% 10 13.8%	SAC 15.4% LAL 10.0% −5.4%
ORB %	26 24.5% 3 29.3%	SAC 18.2% LAL 24.4% +6.2%
FTrt	10 31.5 18 29.9	SAC 40.5 LAL 41.7 +1.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 54.1% 8 57.7%	SAC 64.9% +10.1% LAL 54.8%
STL %	25 7.3% 2 9.2%	SAC 7.4% +0.2% LAL 7.2%
BLK %	26 6.5% 9 8.2%	SAC 5.8% LAL 6.7% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 52.7% 6 54.2%	SAC 55.4% +0.5% LAL 54.9%
Rim FG%	21 56.6% 3 61.0%	SAC 55.9% LAL 62.1% +6.2%
Mid FG%	20 39.7% 7 41.8%	SAC 46.2% +3.7% LAL 42.5%
3P %	14 36.8% 19 36.1%	SAC 31.6% LAL 46.7% +15.1%
FT %	6 79.8% 14 77.1%	SAC 71.9% +11.9% LAL 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 14 35.5%	SAC 43.0% +8.5% LAL 34.5%
Mid Att. %	13 42.2% 17 42.8%	SAC 32.9% −14.7% LAL 47.6%
3P Att. %	13 23.8% 17 21.7%	SAC 24.1% +6.2% LAL 17.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	103	112
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	24	23
Steals	7	7
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	36 (0)
Field Goals	37-79	42-84
At-the-Rim FG	19-34	18-29
Midrange FG	12-26	17-40
2-Point FG	31-60	35-69
3-Point FG	6-19	7-15
Free Throws	23-32	21-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg