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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Wizards38%9589
1676ers62%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.8
40.5
37.0
15
40%
8
4
2
2
0
3
4
4
3-4
75%
6-12
6-13
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
40.4
35.4
17
44%
9
3
0
1
1
1
0
9
1-3
33%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
2-5
40%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
37.8
26.7
16
58%
3
3
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
42%
2-6
33%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
30.3
23.1
10
56%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
44%
2-3
67%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
5.5
16.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
31.4
18.2
7
45%
6
3
1
1
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
23.7
6.7
16
58%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
5-9
1-2
56%
41%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
14.2
21.1
4
69%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
12.0
12.2
4
50%
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
4.2
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
6.4
0
1-1
52%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.0
4.4
0
1-1
44%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
38.1
34.2
27
60%
9
3
1
1
1
2
2
7
3-8
38%
12-19
7-13
63%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
37.9
37.7
8
82%
4
12
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
6-12
75%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
36.5
40.9
14
53%
5
4
3
2
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
5-9
6-11
56%
51%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
33.1
23.1
5
43%
17
0
0
0
1
3
3
14
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
24.7
28.2
13
60%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
1-5
20%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
28.9
25.6
14
65%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
25.2
14.5
15
55%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-3
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
10.6
7.8
8
71%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
5.0
8.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
10.3
0
1-2
44%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
6.9
0
0-1
48%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.