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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers45%100103
25Bucks55%102121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.7
35.2
31.6
27
72%
5
6
2
1
0
2
1
4
10-11
91%
7-13
4-9
54%
45%
1-1
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.6
34.2
36.3
9
38%
11
2
0
1
0
1
2
9
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-7
14%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.9
30.0
32.7
7
35%
1
2
3
1
1
5
0
1
1-2
50%
3-8
5-11
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.7
25.5
38.6
14
54%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
6-9
6-12
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.0
18.3
5.0
8
54%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-1
0%
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
30.8
25.7
8
54%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
27.9
12.6
16
74%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
2-2
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
25.7
25.0
14
62%
5
3
2
1
0
2
4
1
1-3
33%
5-9
3-5
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.5
11.6
21.8
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.8
1.0
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
1.2
0
0-0
54%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.2
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
43.7
35.6
27
58%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
4-10
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
41.0
27.4
20
67%
20
1
0
1
2
4
6
14
8-9
89%
6-11
4-8
55%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
32.2
34.8
20
51%
3
3
3
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
50%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
31.9
27.5
13
67%
3
6
3
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
15.4
21.0
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
36.3
27.7
26
74%
10
2
0
1
3
4
2
8
5-6
83%
6-9
6-12
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
17.1
20.5
6
100%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
14.5
20.2
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
7.0
2.6
7
117%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
1.0
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
10.4
0
1-3
45%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.