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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pacers48%100118
23Wizards52%10198
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.7
37.6
33.5
27
53%
9
5
5
1
0
1
3
6
10-10
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
50%
1-7
14%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.9
36.1
31.4
20
57%
8
7
1
1
1
2
5
3
0-1
0%
10-17
5-10
59%
50%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.7
28.5
32.2
16
45%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.6
22.9
34.9
8
67%
12
1
0
1
0
2
4
8
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.0
12.1
9.8
2
26%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
29.5
25.0
9
46%
11
1
1
1
1
0
7
4
1-4
25%
4-8
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
28.9
18.0
8
40%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
24.7
27.0
16
61%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
4-9
3-5
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.5
17.2
17.8
12
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-6
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
1.2
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.8
1.2
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
1.0
0
0-0
58%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.2
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
40.5
37.1
26
68%
15
0
1
1
1
3
4
11
5-7
71%
6-10
6-12
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.8
39.1
37.9
26
60%
8
5
1
2
1
4
1
7
6-8
75%
7-13
6-13
54%
49%
2-5
40%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
32.9
31.0
6
47%
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-5
20%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
32.8
23.7
19
53%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
5-7
71%
7-14
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
31.4
25.9
5
31%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
18.3
14.3
1
9%
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
15.0
12.1
1
17%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
10.9
18.2
8
100%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
8.9
11.9
4
72%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
5.3
12.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.0
2.4
3.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
2.4
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.1
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.