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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks42%9798
18Heat58%10083
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
40.1
32.9
20
78%
11
0
0
1
0
0
3
8
0-2
0%
10-12
5-9
83%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
36.2
38.6
21
70%
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
7-7
100%
1-5
5-11
20%
48%
4-7
57%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
32.6
33.0
14
47%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
49%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
29.8
28.8
4
40%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
22.3
18.4
4
40%
7
2
0
1
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
30.2
30.9
20
48%
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
20.2
18.1
7
50%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
18.2
18.9
4
35%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
7.9
9.6
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
1.2
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
1.2
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.6
41.5
34.0
15
70%
5
0
1
1
2
2
2
3
3-4
75%
6-8
5-10
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.9
41.4
33.1
15
40%
6
8
2
2
0
4
1
5
5-6
83%
5-14
8-16
36%
51%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
39.4
27.8
2
33%
6
0
0
1
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
35.9
31.4
20
74%
7
8
1
2
0
5
1
6
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
3-7
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
19.5
34.5
2
20%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
5-9
20%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
23.3
21.6
13
49%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
3-5
60%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
21.7
25.6
13
78%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
4-5
80%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
9.8
17.6
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
3.5
20.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
2.8
7.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
1.2
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.0
3.3
0
0-1
47%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.