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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Timberwolves41%100103
29Kings59%102118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.9
33.2
37.5
22
55%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
11-20
10-19
55%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.2
31.9
34.6
9
34%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
5-5
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.8
25.4
32.6
8
57%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
54%
2-2
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.3
25.1
32.3
1
7%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
4-8
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.1
24.5
26.5
17
53%
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
1
3-7
43%
7-13
5-9
54%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.3
26.3
24.3
7
44%
15
0
0
1
1
2
6
9
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
25.8
23.6
21
69%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
25.5
7.2
17
85%
1
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
9-9
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
12.0
2.1
1
13%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-4
25%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-2
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
6.6
8.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.5
3.6
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.0
2.8
0
0-0
41%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.6
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.0
29.9
33.9
17
54%
1
2
2
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
7-11
6-11
64%
52%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.6
28.1
29.9
15
58%
10
2
0
1
2
1
1
9
1-2
50%
7-11
5-9
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
27.8
29.7
4
50%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
26.7
20.9
14
65%
10
2
0
1
0
1
1
9
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
25.1
30.7
21
64%
3
5
1
1
2
1
1
2
6-8
75%
3-8
4-7
38%
52%
3-5
60%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.4
24.7
25.8
10
50%
5
2
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
22.6
15.9
10
63%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.2
20.2
12.3
10
45%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.8
18.4
14.0
13
111%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
3-3
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.1
16.5
13.1
4
69%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
5.2
0
1-1
45%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
5.1
0
1-1
47%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.9
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.