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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks37%9588
1676ers63%10093
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
35.5
32.3
11
51%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
35.2
35.3
6
61%
8
3
2
1
0
4
4
4
2-2
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
34.7
37.0
6
21%
8
5
2
1
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
2-9
5-10
22%
47%
0-4
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
32.8
28.7
14
57%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
31.8
19.8
13
67%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
23.9
19.5
14
69%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
21.8
30.1
11
49%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
3-3
100%
4-6
6-12
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
15.2
18.6
7
51%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
9.0
9.3
6
50%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
4.4
0
0-1
45%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
41.6
37.1
19
62%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
1-3
33%
9-14
6-11
64%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
34.0
38.7
4
14%
6
7
1
2
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-12
5-11
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
27.6
26.5
9
64%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
21.9
34.7
4
40%
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
7-14
40%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
18.8
26.5
8
84%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
31.8
18.7
25
60%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
5-9
56%
7-13
3-7
54%
46%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
30.7
26.5
10
57%
4
0
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-4
25%
3-6
4-7
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
18.7
8.7
12
60%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
6-7
86%
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
14.8
6.9
2
25%
9
0
1
0
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
6.8
0
1-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
6.4
0
0-1
48%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.