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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz56%101103
17Nets44%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
33.9
33.1
17
73%
2
11
2
1
1
3
0
2
4-6
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.8
33.3
38.0
18
66%
12
1
1
1
1
5
5
7
4-6
67%
7-11
7-12
64%
54%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
29.1
36.2
23
59%
9
1
0
1
1
2
1
8
10-10
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
50%
1-1
100%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.7
9.9
29.1
2
33%
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
5-9
33%
55%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
6.5
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
34.0
28.9
10
45%
3
3
1
1
4
1
1
2
4-5
80%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
32.0
17.1
18
66%
9
2
1
0
1
1
3
6
6-6
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.8
16.8
5.1
6
50%
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.1
14.1
13.4
1
27%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
13.6
11.0
6
60%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.5
9.2
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
7.5
9.2
2
25%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.0
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
40.6
35.9
32
55%
4
4
0
1
0
3
2
2
9-11
82%
10-18
6-12
56%
48%
1-6
17%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
39.1
36.6
21
55%
1
11
4
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
51%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
31.7
26.9
15
54%
7
0
0
1
2
0
3
4
1-2
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.5
30.6
23.2
5
36%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.1
17.4
22.6
2
17%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
25.6
21.1
9
65%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
23.1
21.6
4
33%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
16.3
18.3
4
29%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
15.6
19.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
54%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
7.3
0
1-2
48%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.