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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs48%9083
8Hornets52%9190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
37.6
34.6
16
47%
11
1
0
1
1
1
3
8
6-7
86%
5-14
7-14
36%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.6
34.2
33.6
20
70%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
7-12
8-15
58%
51%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
34.0
28.6
7
23%
7
2
1
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
51%
1-8
13%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.8
26.6
28.4
5
28%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.3
24.5
24.7
5
34%
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.4
30.8
28.9
17
71%
9
5
1
1
1
5
1
8
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.2
23.5
12.4
2
50%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.5
14.3
17.2
5
83%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.6
13.8
17.1
6
44%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
0.7
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
2.9
0
0-0
48%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.1
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
40.2
38.0
21
56%
9
0
1
1
1
2
1
8
3-4
75%
6-15
7-15
40%
49%
2-2
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
38.8
37.3
19
55%
6
12
3
2
1
3
2
4
5-5
100%
7-14
6-11
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
35.8
24.7
10
42%
11
0
0
0
4
5
7
4
2-2
100%
4-11
3-5
36%
59%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
34.6
29.5
13
55%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
2-6
33%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
24.9
18.0
7
39%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-3
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
30.6
27.2
8
67%
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
15.1
10.6
4
37%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
10.9
16.0
8
82%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
9.1
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
4.7
0
1-1
45%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.