Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Spurs	42%	93	78	85.7	91	91.4
	11	Magic	58%	96	90	96.8	93	92.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	36.8	19	48%	9	3	0	0	1	3	2	7	5-6	83%	7-17	41%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	36.5	9	25%	1	4	0	0	4	1	0	1	3-3	100%	3-16	19%	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.1	10	71%	7	0	2	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	21.6	8	80%	2	2	1	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	15.4	2	17%	3	0	2	1	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	28.7	10	38%	8	3	0	0	3	2	3	5	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	20.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	20.5	3	30%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	18.9	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	11.2	6	60%	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	2.5	2	100%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DND
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Tolliver #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	45%	39	15	6	3	15	0	7	32	10-13	77%	22-60	37%	8-20	40%

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4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	36.8	19	48%	9	3	0	0	1	3	2	7	5-6	83%	7-17	41%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	36.5	9	25%	1	4	0	0	4	1	0	1	3-3	100%	3-16	19%	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.1	10	71%	7	0	2	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	21.6	8	80%	2	2	1	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	15.4	2	17%	3	0	2	1	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	28.7	10	38%	8	3	0	0	3	2	3	5	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	20.8	3	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	20.5	3	30%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	18.9	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	11.2	6	60%	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	2.5	2	100%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DND
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Tolliver #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	45%	39	15	6	3	15	0	7	32	10-13	77%	22-60	37%	8-20	40%

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11 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 30	38.8	11	42%	4	3	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 29	36.8	15	47%	5	0	1	2	0	0	0	5	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	2-6	33%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 23	33.0	14	54%	13	0	1	2	4	5	5	8	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 27	32.5	24	63%	4	7	0	0	3	1	0	4	1-2	50%	10-15	67%	1-3	33%
Keith Bogans G · 6'5" 215 · 29	30.4	8	36%	9	0	2	0	2	1	0	9	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-8	25%

Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 23	26.8	10	56%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Anthony Johnson G · 6'3" 195 · 34	15.4	2	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 25	15.0	2	50%	4	1	2	2	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brian Cook C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28	11.2	4	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Tony Battie C · 6'11" 240 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Adonal Foyle C · 6'10" 270 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Richardson #32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Wilks #29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mickael Pietrus #20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	48%	44	16	9	6	12	0	6	38	8-10	80%	32-60	53%	6-25	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.91 45.3%

ORL

0.96 47.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

7

16

44%

ORL

17

28

61%

Midrange

SAS

15

44

34%

ORL

15

32

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

ORL

6

9.0

25

24%

36%

Free Throws

SAS

10

13

77%

ORL

8

10

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	19	48%	9.5 / 20
R. Mason Jr.	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili	10	38%	5.0 / 13
T. Parker	9	25%	4.5 / 18
M. Bonner	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Udoka	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Thomas	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Bowen	3	75%	1.5 / 2
G. Hill	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Finley	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Vaughn	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nelson	24	63%	12.0 / 19
R. Lewis	15	47%	7.5 / 16
D. Howard	14	54%	7.0 / 13
H. Turkoglu	11	42%	5.5 / 13
C. Lee	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Bogans	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Cook	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Gortat	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 108.3 11 109.0	SAS 85.7 ORL 96.8 +11.1
Pace	26 88.7 13 92.5	SAS 91.4 ORL 92.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.5 18 15.5	SAS 15.8 ORL 15.5 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.3% 3 52.0%	SAS 42.5% ORL 48.2% +5.7%
TO %	1 12.4% 15 14.6%	SAS 14.9% ORL 12.7% −2.2%
ORB %	30 22.1% 29 24.0%	SAS 15.6% ORL 15.8% +0.2%
FTrt	30 25.1 3 35.1	SAS 16.3 +4.5 ORL 11.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 57.1% 27 54.4%	SAS 50.0% +7.9% ORL 42.1%
STL %	30 6.5% 20 7.5%	SAS 6.6% ORL 9.7% +3.1%
BLK %	29 6.1% 13 8.0%	SAS 5.0% ORL 10.0% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.4% 4 54.4%	SAS 45.3% ORL 47.9% +2.6%
Rim FG%	11 58.8% 4 60.9%	SAS 43.8% ORL 60.7% +16.9%
Mid FG%	3 42.7% 23 39.3%	SAS 34.1% ORL 46.9% +12.8%
3P %	3 38.6% 7 38.1%	SAS 40.0% +16.0% ORL 24.0%
FT %	19 76.2% 30 71.5%	SAS 76.9% ORL 80.0% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.3% 23 31.3%	SAS 20.0% ORL 32.9% +12.9%
Mid Att. %	21 44.9% 2 35.2%	SAS 55.0% ORL 37.6% −17.4%
3P Att. %	7 24.8% 1 33.5%	SAS 25.0% ORL 29.4% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	91	93
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	78	90
Rebounds	39	44
Assists	15	16
Steals	6	9
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	6 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	38 (2)
Field Goals	30-80	38-85
At-the-Rim FG	7-16	17-28
Midrange FG	15-44	15-32
2-Point FG	22-60	32-60
3-Point FG	8-20	6-25
Free Throws	10-13	8-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg