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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 20, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets67%101109
27Timberwolves33%95102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
35.6
32.6
10
56%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
35.4
34.0
18
53%
4
3
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
9-17
7-13
53%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
33.8
33.6
23
57%
5
5
1
1
1
1
0
5
5-5
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
46%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.9
31.1
35.9
18
86%
10
5
0
1
0
2
0
10
7-8
88%
1-1
4-8
100%
48%
3-6
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.6
13.7
28.3
3
80%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
5-10
100%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
32.1
27.5
19
68%
1
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.5
26.3
8.3
2
50%
10
0
1
0
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
18.6
9.6
16
102%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
47%
2-2
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
13.4
21.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-6
0%
57%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.4
6.3
0
1-2
46%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.8
5.9
0
0-1
44%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.0
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.0
44.6
36.4
34
52%
13
4
2
1
3
4
6
7
4-4
100%
15-31
9-18
48%
50%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.1
34.9
28.0
14
66%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.2
33.1
33.7
24
56%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
9-16
4-9
56%
45%
2-5
40%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.3
30.3
30.9
6
32%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.8
5.3
30.9
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
39.1
21.3
16
47%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
5-9
56%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
29.9
17.6
5
53%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
9.6
1.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.3
6.9
22.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
6.3
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.5
7.7
0
1-2
41%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
2.2
0
0-0
40%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.6
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.8
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.