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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets58%99114
15Nets42%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.9
36.8
33.3
22
74%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
4-7
57%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
35.3
34.2
24
73%
16
2
0
0
4
3
4
12
8-8
100%
8-13
7-14
62%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
33.0
33.2
6
60%
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
2-5
40%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
30.2
33.2
12
61%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.6
28.4
22.5
11
57%
4
4
1
1
1
2
2
2
1-6
17%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
24.9
28.9
10
46%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
21.1
18.5
13
74%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
5-7
3-5
71%
57%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
11.2
13.2
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.5
6.3
15.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
6.0
5.3
5
125%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.4
4.5
5.3
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.0
2.2
0.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.4
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
29.9
30.7
8
36%
9
1
0
1
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
28.4
19.9
8
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
28.2
37.1
10
33%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-14
6-12
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
26.2
23.3
10
36%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-11
3-6
27%
44%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
18.4
36.8
10
43%
2
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
50%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
25.7
20.3
17
70%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
23.1
3.0
8
80%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
20.3
19.4
7
41%
4
3
2
0
0
1
4
0
5-6
83%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
18.1
14.6
5
43%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
15.2
2.1
6
55%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
0-0
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
6.5
2.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
6.4
0
1-1
49%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.