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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers80%105105
29Grizzlies20%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
40.5
33.7
11
60%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
4-5
80%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
38.3
38.1
36
68%
4
3
2
2
0
5
0
4
5-8
63%
11-17
9-18
65%
51%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
33.6
36.5
15
64%
7
6
0
1
2
0
1
6
3-4
75%
6-10
6-12
60%
55%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
21.2
22.5
13
73%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
59%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
18.9
14.9
6
50%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
29.1
24.9
4
41%
5
4
2
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
26.2
31.0
12
41%
6
2
1
1
1
2
3
3
4-6
67%
4-11
4-7
36%
54%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
13.4
14.4
3
150%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
12.4
12.7
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
6.4
1.9
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
2.0
0
0-0
51%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
38.5
34.0
23
62%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
2-4
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
36.9
31.4
22
57%
3
6
1
1
1
4
1
2
1-1
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
5-9
56%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
33.4
24.6
11
81%
8
0
0
1
3
2
3
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
32.3
28.7
8
46%
7
2
2
1
0
5
5
2
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
23.4
23.1
6
40%
4
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
24.6
25.5
10
60%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.5
24.3
20.1
14
51%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
14.4
18.7
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
12.1
13.1
0
0%
1
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
14.4
1
2-5
44%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
2.0
0
0-0
42%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.