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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1876ers16%8691
1Celtics84%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
38.3
38.0
14
44%
5
8
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
35.4
38.1
14
39%
2
4
3
2
1
4
0
2
0-2
0%
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
0-5
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
31.6
24.6
8
80%
13
1
1
0
3
2
0
13
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
30.5
32.0
7
36%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
19.5
6.2
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
39%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.2
32.3
26.3
16
60%
1
8
0
1
0
5
0
1
8-10
80%
4-8
4-10
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.4
31.4
19.4
16
65%
6
2
0
1
3
1
2
4
2-3
67%
7-11
3-8
64%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
16.4
12.0
12
62%
5
0
3
0
0
1
2
3
2-6
33%
5-7
1-2
71%
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
4.7
5.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
19.9
1
2-5
45%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
7.1
0
0-1
46%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
35.0
34.7
16
82%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.2
31.0
30.7
10
44%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.1
30.0
30.2
8
43%
11
1
2
1
0
3
4
7
2-3
67%
3-8
4-7
38%
59%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
29.5
31.1
18
61%
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3
4-4
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
52%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
29.2
31.9
18
65%
4
4
2
2
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.9
20.2
22.0
4
29%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
18.8
16.6
13
55%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
44%
3-6
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
18.0
9.9
1
17%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
16.1
14.6
15
80%
6
1
2
0
3
0
3
3
9-10
90%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.7
9.7
7.0
4
69%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
2.4
2.3
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.1
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.2
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.0
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.