Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Warriors	26%	97	88	91.7	96	101.3
	15	Heat	74%	105	96	100.0	96	91.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kelenna Azubuike F · 6'5" 215 · 25	39.5	16	40%	9	3	0	0	4	3	3	6	2-2	100%	4-13	31%	2-6	33%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 25	39.2	18	60%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.7	7	32%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 23	30.4	6	33%	9	2	5	0	1	4	5	4	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Brandan Wright F · 6'10" 235 · 21	17.8	12	75%	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 23	27.3	8	36%	7	1	1	0	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 19	20.4	10	50%	6	0	1	2	3	1	2	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Ronny Turiaf C · 6'10" 249 · 26	17.5	5	63%	5	2	0	0	1	3	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
DeMarcus Nelson G · 6'4" 200 · 23	16.0	6	43%	1	1	2	0	2	5	1	0	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 29	\| DND -Strained Left Groin
Rob Kurz F · 6'9" 232 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Williams G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Jackson #1 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Monta Ellis #8 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Corey Maggette #50 · F · 6'6" 225 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	45%	41	14	12	3	16	0	16	25	17-19	89%	28-74	38%	5-15	33%

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26 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kelenna Azubuike F · 6'5" 215 · 25	39.5	16	40%	9	3	0	0	4	3	3	6	2-2	100%	4-13	31%	2-6	33%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 25	39.2	18	60%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	2-4	50%
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 23	31.7	7	32%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 23	30.4	6	33%	9	2	5	0	1	4	5	4	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Brandan Wright F · 6'10" 235 · 21	17.8	12	75%	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 23	27.3	8	36%	7	1	1	0	2	3	2	5	2-2	100%	3-10	30%	0-1	0%
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 19	20.4	10	50%	6	0	1	2	3	1	2	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Ronny Turiaf C · 6'10" 249 · 26	17.5	5	63%	5	2	0	0	1	3	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
DeMarcus Nelson G · 6'4" 200 · 23	16.0	6	43%	1	1	2	0	2	5	1	0	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 29	\| DND -Strained Left Groin
Rob Kurz F · 6'9" 232 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Williams G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Jackson #1 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Monta Ellis #8 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Corey Maggette #50 · F · 6'6" 225 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	45%	41	14	12	3	16	0	16	25	17-19	89%	28-74	38%	5-15	33%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 31	39.0	9	50%	16	3	1	0	3	2	3	13	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	38.9	7	50%	3	4	1	0	5	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	37.7	32	53%	8	8	3	3	2	3	1	7	6-10	60%	13-20	65%	0-5	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 29	37.0	16	67%	8	2	1	1	3	1	3	5	0-2	0%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 26	18.7	7	70%	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	27.3	20	83%	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	5-7	71%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	13.0	5	31%	2	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 25	10.1	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yakhouba Diawara F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26	8.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	6.2	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 27	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Jones #22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shaun Livingston #8 · G · 6'7" 192 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	53%	48	20	6	7	19	0	9	39	14-25	56%	32-59	54%	6-15	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.91 45.4%

MIA

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

19

37

51%

MIA

16

25

64%

Midrange

GSW

9

37

24%

MIA

16

34

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

5

7.5

15

33%

50%

MIA

6

9.0

15

40%

60%

Free Throws

GSW

17

19

89%

MIA

14

25

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Watson	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Azubuike	16	40%	8.0 / 20
B. Wright	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Randolph	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Morrow	8	36%	4.0 / 11
M. Belinelli	7	32%	3.5 / 11
A. Biedrins	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Nelson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Turiaf	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	32	53%	16.0 / 30
D. Cook	20	83%	10.0 / 12
U. Haslem	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Marion	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Chalmers	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Anthony	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Beasley	5	31%	2.5 / 8
Y. Diawara	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Magloire	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 109.1 19 107.6	GSW 91.7 MIA 100.0 +8.3
Pace	1 98.6 23 90.2	GSW 101.3 +9.8 MIA 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.2 7 16.3	GSW 14.2 −1.5 MIA 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 49.7% 16 50.0%	GSW 39.9% MIA 55.4% +15.5%
TO %	13 14.3% 3 13.1%	GSW 14.9% −4.9% MIA 19.8%
ORB %	18 26.2% 24 24.6%	GSW 29.1% +2.6% MIA 26.5%
FTrt	5 33.9 24 28.2	GSW 21.3 MIA 33.8 +12.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 53.0% 22 55.1%	GSW 42.4% MIA 52.6% +10.2%
STL %	17 7.8% 5 8.7%	GSW 12.5% +6.2% MIA 6.3%
BLK %	3 9.2% 2 9.2%	GSW 5.1% MIA 9.5% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.7% 21 52.6%	GSW 45.4% MIA 52.7% +7.3%
Rim FG%	17 57.8% 9 59.5%	GSW 51.4% MIA 64.0% +12.6%
Mid FG%	25 39.2% 8 41.8%	GSW 24.3% MIA 47.1% +22.8%
3P %	11 37.3% 22 35.7%	GSW 33.3% MIA 40.0% +6.7%
FT %	8 79.1% 23 75.4%	GSW 89.5% +33.5% MIA 56.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 37.6% 25 30.3%	GSW 41.6% +7.8% MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %	12 41.5% 22 45.2%	GSW 41.6% −4.4% MIA 45.9%
3P Att. %	21 20.9% 8 24.5%	GSW 16.9% MIA 20.3% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIA
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	88	96
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	14	20
Steals	12	6
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (1)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	39 (1)
Field Goals	33-89	38-74
At-the-Rim FG	19-37	16-25
Midrange FG	9-37	16-34
2-Point FG	28-74	32-59
3-Point FG	5-15	6-15
Free Throws	17-19	14-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg