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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bulls30%9398
12Pistons70%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
33.7
31.3
6
38%
11
0
1
1
1
2
5
6
2-2
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
33.6
33.5
18
55%
7
7
0
1
0
6
1
6
1-1
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
46%
1-5
20%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.1
30.9
31.8
18
83%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
20.7
31.7
10
51%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
16.7
20.9
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
38.4
24.7
19
48%
1
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
6-9
67%
5-12
2-6
42%
41%
1-4
25%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
34.0
10.9
16
75%
12
2
1
0
2
0
3
9
5-6
83%
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
21.3
18.7
4
67%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.1
5.8
5.9
3
38%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
4.8
14.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
42.0
32.4
40
69%
2
4
4
2
0
3
1
1
9-11
82%
14-22
4-9
64%
46%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
39.2
35.9
14
51%
11
7
1
1
0
2
5
6
6-6
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
33.0
37.9
14
48%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
49%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
30.3
34.0
11
39%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
1-3
33%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.5
24.0
39.4
5
26%
4
8
1
2
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
0-6
6-13
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
30.0
9.8
6
50%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.3
26.6
25.6
10
59%
11
1
0
1
2
1
2
9
4-8
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.8
14.9
9.3
4
35%
6
0
0
0
2
0
5
1
2-4
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
55%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.6
7.1
0
1-2
56%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
5.4
0
1-2
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.8
3.9
0
0-1
53%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
2.7
0
0-0
52%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.