FinalWin Prob.pScore
1058%99
86
2042%97
94
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
88.79793.9
MIL logo MIL
100.09498.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL86
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTARidnour STEAL (6 STL)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILMISS Ridnour Free Throw 2 of 286
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)86
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 285
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 285
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTAMISS Harpring Layup85
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 3PT Jump Shot85
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot85
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 1:02UTAKirilenko Foul Turnover (P7.T23)85
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 1:12MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)85
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q4 - 1:27UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
16.1%
88
83.9%
Q4 - 1:27UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
14.6%
88
85.4%
Q4 - 1:39UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q4 - 1:40MILMISS Mbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot83
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 2:05UTAKirilenko Layup (19 PTS)83
7.4%
88
92.6%
Q4 - 2:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 2:07UTAMISS D. Williams Layup81
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 2:25MILJefferson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ridnour 11 AST)81
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 2:33MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 2:34UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
8.6%
86
91.4%
Q4 - 2:58MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
15.8%
86
84.2%
Q4 - 2:58MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 281
18.0%
85
82.0%
Q4 - 3:10UTAKirilenko Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P6.T22)81
14.0%
85
86.0%
Q4 - 3:24UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)81
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 3:25MILMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot81
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q4 - 3:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q4 - 3:50UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 281
20.4%
85
79.6%
Q4 - 3:50UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 281
24.3%
85
75.7%
Q4 - 3:50UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)81
26.8%
85
73.2%
Q4 - 3:50UTAMISS Millsap 9' Jump Shot81
21.5%
85
78.5%
Q4 - 4:05MILRidnour 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)81
26.5%
85
73.5%
Q4 - 4:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
33.8%
83
66.2%
Q4 - 4:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
32.0%
83
68.0%
Q4 - 4:28UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q4 - 4:30UTAMISS Korver 13' Jump Shot79
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 4:33UTAJazz Rebound79
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q4 - 4:33UTAMISS D. Williams 17' Jump Shot79
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 4:47UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
26.1%
83
73.9%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot79
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q4 - 5:10UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 5:10UTAMillsap Tip Shot (11 PTS)79
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 5:13UTAMISS Kirilenko 16' Jump Shot77
14.4%
83
85.6%
Q4 - 5:29UTAJazz Rebound77
17.5%
83
82.5%
Q4 - 5:29UTAMISS Korver 14' Jump Shot77
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 5:45MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q4 - 5:45MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)77
18.3%
82
81.7%
Q4 - 5:51MILBUCKS Rebound77
22.6%
81
77.4%
Q4 - 5:52MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot77
27.2%
81
72.8%
Q4 - 6:16UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P2.T21)77
26.3%
81
73.7%
Q4 - 6:27MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
32.7%
81
67.3%
Q4 - 6:27MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
33.7%
80
66.3%
Q4 - 6:34UTARidnour STEAL (5 STL)77
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q4 - 6:49MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q4 - 6:49MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
48.2%
78
51.8%
Q4 - 7:08UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
55.2%
77
44.8%
Q4 - 7:08UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
53.7%
77
46.3%
Q4 - 7:15UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
48.7%
77
51.3%
Q4 - 7:16MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot75
46.4%
77
53.6%
Q4 - 7:19MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
41.3%
77
58.7%
Q4 - 7:21MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot75
46.4%
77
53.6%
Q4 - 7:37UTAD. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
41.2%
77
58.8%
Q4 - 7:57UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
29.0%
77
71.0%
Q4 - 7:58MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot72
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q4 - 8:14UTAKorver 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)72
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q4 - 8:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q4 - 8:22UTAMISS D. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q4 - 8:42MILSessions Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)69
17.1%
77
82.9%
Q4 - 9:03UTAD. Williams 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)69
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 9:06UTAJazz Rebound67
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q4 - 9:07UTAMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot67
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 9:24MILSessions 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ridnour 10 AST)67
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 9:45UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q4 - 9:45UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 266
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q4 - 9:58MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q4 - 10:20UTAKorver 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)66
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q4 - 10:32MILMbah a Moute Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)64
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q4 - 10:46MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q4 - 10:47UTAMISS Millsap 15' Jump Shot64
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q4 - 11:03UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q4 - 11:05MILMISS Ridnour 16' Jump Shot64
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q4 - 11:12MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 11:13UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot64
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q4 - 11:29MILSessions Layup (11 PTS) (Ridnour 9 AST)64
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q4 - 11:33UTARidnour STEAL (4 STL)64
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q4 - 11:43MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q4 - 11:43MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL64
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound64
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Sessions 32' 3PT Jump Shot64
34.4%
69
65.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAD. Williams Layup (12 PTS)64
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T10)62
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILMISS Jefferson 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)62
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)62
27.8%
69
72.2%
Q3 - 1:10UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 1:10UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 1:18UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 1:19MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup60
20.4%
69
79.6%
Q3 - 1:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 1:25MILMISS Sessions Layup60
20.4%
69
79.6%
Q3 - 1:53UTAKirilenko Layup (13 PTS)60
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 2:02UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 2:04UTAMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot58
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q3 - 2:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 2:18MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 258
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 2:18MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 2:28UTAKirilenko 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)58
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 2:48MILSessions 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ridnour 8 AST)56
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q3 - 2:58MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 2:59UTAMISS Miles 20' Jump Shot56
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q3 - 3:17MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 3:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 256
22.1%
65
77.9%
Q3 - 3:30UTAMiles Dunk (4 PTS)56
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 3:34MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 3:53UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)54
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 3:59UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
18.4%
65
81.6%
Q3 - 4:00MILMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot54
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q3 - 4:15UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P1.T16)54
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q3 - 4:28MILMbah a Moute Layup (8 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)54
19.4%
65
80.6%
Q3 - 4:44UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)54
21.8%
63
78.2%
Q3 - 4:57UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q3 - 4:58MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 5:21UTAMiles Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)52
17.6%
63
82.4%
Q3 - 5:26MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)50
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 5:50UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q3 - 5:50UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 5:50UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 5:50MILMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot48
11.0%
63
89.0%
Q3 - 6:06UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 6:06UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 6:10UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 6:12MILMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot46
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 6:22UTAKoufos Layup (6 PTS)46
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 6:24UTAKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 6:26UTAMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot44
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 6:36UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 6:37MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.7%
63
93.3%
Q3 - 6:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 6:45UTAMISS Miles 15' Jump Shot44
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 6:55UTAJazz Rebound44
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 6:56UTAMISS Koufos Layup44
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 6:57UTAKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 6:59UTAMISS Koufos Layup44
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 7:15MILJefferson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q3 - 7:24MILBUCKS Rebound44
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 7:24UTAMISS D. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 7:32UTAJazz Rebound44
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 7:32UTAMISS D. Williams Layup44
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 7:39UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 7:41MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 7:53UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)44
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 7:59UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 8:00MILMISS Jefferson Layup44
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 8:01MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 8:01MILMISS Jefferson Layup44
10.5%
61
89.5%
Q3 - 8:02MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 8:03MILMISS Jefferson Layup44
10.5%
61
89.5%
Q3 - 8:19UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 8:19UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 8:21UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 8:23UTAMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot42
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 8:36MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ridnour 7 AST)42
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 8:53UTAKoufos 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)42
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 9:11MILRidnour Layup (8 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)40
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 9:19MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 9:20UTAMISS Koufos 12' Jump Shot40
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q3 - 9:30UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 9:40UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)40
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 10:05MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
14.1%
56
85.9%
Q3 - 10:05MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q3 - 10:20UTAMillsap 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 10:44MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ridnour 6 AST)38
14.0%
54
86.0%
Q3 - 10:59MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q3 - 11:00MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot38
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q3 - 11:11UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)38
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 11:34MILJefferson Layup (2 PTS) (Ridnour 5 AST)38
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 11:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)38
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q3 - 11:39UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot38
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA38
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound38
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILSessions 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
27.4%
48
72.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTAMISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot38
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMbah a Moute Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)38
29.5%
48
70.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0UTABell STEAL (1 STL)38
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q2 - 1:05UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
36.1%
46
63.9%
Q2 - 1:07UTAMISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 1:25MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
36.1%
46
63.9%
Q2 - 1:25MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q2 - 1:27UTAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)38
40.0%
44
60.0%
Q2 - 1:38UTAKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
42.3%
44
57.7%
Q2 - 1:39MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot38
41.6%
44
58.4%
Q2 - 1:53UTAKoufos Layup (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)38
40.0%
44
60.0%
Q2 - 2:09MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)36
37.3%
44
62.7%
Q2 - 2:28UTAPrice Layup (2 PTS)36
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 2:48UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
37.2%
42
62.8%
Q2 - 2:49MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot34
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 2:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 3:01UTAMISS Koufos Layup34
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 3:08UTAKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 3:09MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.2%
42
62.8%
Q2 - 3:32UTAAlmond 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)34
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 3:51MILMbah a Moute Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)31
29.8%
42
70.2%
Q2 - 4:05MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 4:08UTAMISS Koufos 15' Jump Shot31
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q2 - 4:29UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 4:30MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot31
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 4:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
32.8%
40
67.2%
Q2 - 4:43UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
33.7%
40
66.3%
Q2 - 5:07UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 5:08MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 5:25UTAVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)31
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 5:34UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 5:35MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot31
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 5:59UTAKirilenko 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)31
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 6:17MILVillanueva 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 6:31UTAPrice Foul Turnover (P1.T9)29
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 6:41MILMbah a Moute Layup (2 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)29
37.4%
38
62.6%
Q2 - 6:46MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
39.7%
36
60.3%
Q2 - 6:47UTAVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)29
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q2 - 6:52UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
42.9%
36
57.1%
Q2 - 6:53UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q2 - 7:12UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 7:13MILMISS Villanueva 15' Jump Shot29
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 7:31UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 7:31UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 7:42MILRidnour 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 7:47MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
40.4%
34
59.6%
Q2 - 7:50UTAMISS Price Layup27
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 7:54UTAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.3%
34
56.7%
Q2 - 7:56MILMISS Redd Layup27
42.4%
34
57.6%
Q2 - 8:08UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 8:17MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T6)24
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 8:22MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 8:23UTAGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)24
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 8:41MILRidnour 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 8:50MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
38.6%
32
61.4%
Q2 - 8:51UTAMISS Price 14' Jump Shot24
39.3%
32
60.7%
Q2 - 9:18MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)24
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 9:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 9:21MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 9:40UTAJazz Rebound24
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 9:40UTAMISS Kirilenko 8' Running Jump Shot24
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 9:40UTAKirilenko Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)24
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 9:54MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 9:54MILBUCKS Rebound24
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 9:54MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 10:19UTAKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 10:19UTAKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 10:34MILVillanueva Slam Dunk (8 PTS)22
41.9%
30
58.1%
Q2 - 10:36MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 10:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 10:38MILMISS Gadzuric Layup22
46.3%
28
53.7%
Q2 - 10:39MILMISS Sessions 12' Jump Shot22
46.3%
28
53.7%
Q2 - 10:45UTAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)22
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 10:50UTAAlmond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Gadzuric 13' Jump Shot22
46.3%
28
53.7%
Q2 - 11:08UTAAlmond Layup (2 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)22
44.8%
28
55.2%
Q2 - 11:22MILVillanueva Layup (6 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)20
42.3%
28
57.7%
Q2 - 11:35UTAHarpring 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)20
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA18
42.3%
26
57.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MILMISS Redd 28' 3PT Jump Shot18
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)18
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0UTARedd STEAL (1 STL)16
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
45.5%
22
54.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot16
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 1:13MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q1 - 1:13MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
48.9%
21
51.1%
Q1 - 1:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 1:34UTAMISS Kirilenko 16' Jump Shot16
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:48UTAJazz Rebound16
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 1:48UTAMISS Brewer Layup16
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:57UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 1:58MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 1:58MILMISS Villanueva Tip Shot16
52.2%
20
47.8%
Q1 - 2:00MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot16
52.2%
20
47.8%
Q1 - 2:21MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 2:22UTAMISS Koufos 17' Jump Shot16
51.9%
20
48.1%
Q1 - 2:41UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
53.2%
20
46.8%
Q1 - 2:44MILMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 3:00UTAKorver 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)16
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 3:12MILVillanueva Dunk (2 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)14
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 3:15UTARidnour STEAL (3 STL)14
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 3:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 3:22MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot14
53.1%
18
46.9%
Q1 - 3:29MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 3:30UTAMISS D. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 3:47MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)14
53.7%
18
46.3%
Q1 - 4:00MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 4:01UTAMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot14
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 4:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
60.5%
15
39.5%
Q1 - 4:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
58.2%
15
41.8%
Q1 - 4:15MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot14
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 4:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute 8' Jump Shot14
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 4:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
58.2%
15
41.8%
Q1 - 4:38UTAMISS Koufos Layup14
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 4:56MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
60.5%
15
39.5%
Q1 - 5:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
58.2%
15
41.8%
Q1 - 5:02UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot14
58.6%
15
41.4%
Q1 - 5:17UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
60.3%
15
39.7%
Q1 - 5:18MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot14
59.6%
15
40.4%
Q1 - 5:31UTARidnour STEAL (2 STL)14
57.9%
15
42.1%
Q1 - 5:40MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
60.3%
15
39.7%
Q1 - 5:40MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 214
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 5:44MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 5:46MILMISS Redd Layup14
61.6%
14
38.4%
Q1 - 5:56UTARidnour STEAL (1 STL)14
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 6:04UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 6:06MILMISS Ridnour Layup14
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 6:11MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 6:13UTAMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot14
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 6:19UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 6:20MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 6:35UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Koufos 1 AST)14
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 6:52MILRedd Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)12
58.3%
14
41.7%
Q1 - 6:57UTAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)12
60.3%
12
39.7%
Q1 - 7:12MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)12
62.6%
12
37.4%
Q1 - 7:22UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
64.3%
10
35.7%
Q1 - 7:22UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
64.0%
10
36.0%
Q1 - 7:28MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)10
62.6%
10
37.4%
Q1 - 7:39UTAMillsap Layup (6 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)10
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 7:45UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 7:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 7:47MILMISS Bogut Layup8
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 7:49MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot8
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 8:01UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 8:08MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 8:25UTAMillsap Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 8:26UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 8:28UTAMISS Brewer 7' Jump Shot6
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 8:51MILRedd Layup (2 PTS)6
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 8:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 8:55MILMISS Redd Layup6
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 9:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 9:08MILMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot6
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 9:35UTABrewer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)6
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 9:58MILRidnour 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 10:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 10:13UTAMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot4
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 10:31MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 10:43UTAD. Williams Layup (2 PTS)4
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 11:04MILBogut Layup (4 PTS)2
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 11:14UTAMillsap Dunk (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)2
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 11:18MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 11:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 11:22UTAMISS Miles 12' Jump Shot0
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 11:48MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)0
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Fesenko: Tip to Ridnour0
61.2%
0
38.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.91 45.3%
MIL
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
29
62%
MIL
19
32
59%
Midrange
UTA
9
36
25%
MIL
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
MIL
1
1.5
16
6%
9%
Free Throws
UTA
23
27
85%
MIL
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko2258%11.0 / 19
D. Williams1745%8.5 / 19
P. Millsap1150%5.5 / 11
K. Korver744%3.5 / 8
M. Harpring650%3.0 / 6
K. Koufos630%3.0 / 10
M. Almond5125%2.5 / 2
R. Brewer429%2.0 / 7
C. Miles440%2.0 / 5
R. Price225%1.0 / 4
B. Knight2100%1.0 / 1
K. Fesenko0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2747%13.5 / 29
R. Sessions1381%6.5 / 8
L. Ridnour1142%5.5 / 13
L. Mbah a Moute1056%5.0 / 9
R. Jefferson1031%5.0 / 16
C. Villanueva1050%5.0 / 10
A. Bogut950%4.5 / 9
C. Bell250%1.0 / 2
D. Gadzuric233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
74
+21
-23
95
MIL
83
+18
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.91 45.3%
MIL
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.4
106.3
UTA 88.7 +11.3
MIL 100.0
Pace
93.8
93.0
UTA 93.9
MIL 98.2 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.2
UTA 15.3
MIL 14.7 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
48.3%
UTA 39.9% +0.5%
MIL 39.4%
TO %
15.1%
14.6%
UTA 20.9%
MIL 10.8% +10.1%
ORB %
28.3%
27.9%
UTA 31.7% +2.3%
MIL 29.4%
FTrt
35.5
30.6
UTA 34.2
MIL 38.8 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
59.9%
UTA 60.0%
MIL 66.7% +6.7%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
UTA 6.2%
MIL 12.8% +6.6%
BLK %
7.4%
6.5%
UTA 8.7% +5.6%
MIL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
51.8%
UTA 45.3% +0.1%
MIL 45.2%
Rim FG%
59.1%
55.5%
UTA 62.1% +2.7%
MIL 59.4%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.3%
UTA 25.0%
MIL 35.1% +10.1%
3P %
34.9%
36.3%
UTA 21.4% +15.1%
MIL 6.3%
FT %
77.2%
78.0%
UTA 85.2% +3.4%
MIL 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.5%
33.3%
UTA 36.7%
MIL 37.6% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
42.5%
45.9%
UTA 45.6%
MIL 43.5% +2.0%
3P Att. %
16.9%
20.8%
UTA 17.7%
MIL 18.8% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIL
Possessions9794
Possession Minutes24.823.0
Points8694
Rebounds4943
Assists1822
Steals612
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)23 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (8)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals30-7933-85
At-the-Rim FG18-2919-32
Midrange FG9-3613-37
2-Point FG27-6532-69
3-Point FG3-141-16
Free Throws23-2727-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 24
41.7
17
45%
8
8
0
0
7
5
1
7
6-6
100%
4-9
44%
1-7
14%
F · 6'8" 246 · 24
32.2
11
50%
10
1
1
1
0
4
4
6
1-4
25%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 235 · 24
21.9
4
29%
5
1
2
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 22
16.2
4
40%
1
1
2
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 280 · 22
3.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
29.4
22
58%
11
2
0
1
7
3
3
8
12-13
92%
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 33
26.6
6
50%
3
1
0
0
2
4
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 28
19.8
7
44%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 265 · 20
17.4
6
30%
4
1
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 24
12.7
5
125%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
12.0
2
25%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 5'10" 166 · 33
6.3
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · F · 6'9" 258 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 260 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
45%
49
18
6
6
23
0
13
36
23-27
85%
27-65
42%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.