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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz58%9986
20Bucks42%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
41.7
34.1
17
46%
8
8
0
1
0
7
1
7
6-6
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
1-7
14%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
32.2
37.2
11
51%
10
1
1
1
1
0
4
6
1-4
25%
5-9
7-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
21.9
22.5
4
29%
5
1
2
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
54%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
16.2
21.5
4
40%
1
1
2
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.0
3.8
2.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
29.4
30.0
22
59%
11
2
0
1
1
7
3
8
12-13
92%
5-10
3-7
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
26.6
7.8
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
19.8
22.2
7
44%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.8
17.4
5.4
6
30%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-10
1-2
30%
50%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
12.7
5.7
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
12.0
7.0
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.1
6.3
12.2
2
114%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
44.5
28.3
11
43%
3
11
6
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
40.7
33.1
27
47%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
8-9
89%
8-16
5-9
50%
48%
1-9
11%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
40.4
27.5
10
57%
9
2
1
1
0
2
4
5
2-4
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
37.5
28.7
9
51%
11
2
0
1
0
2
2
9
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
34.7
28.6
10
32%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
48%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
14.3
18.0
10
51%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
12.2
16.2
13
67%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
11.9
23.7
2
53%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
3.9
13.5
2
33%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
13.6
0
2-3
45%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
9.0
0
1-2
48%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
7.5
0
1-2
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.