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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers46%96100
9Hornets54%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
39.1
35.9
11
56%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-6
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
37.3
37.9
26
53%
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
6
12-15
80%
7-17
8-17
41%
49%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
36.0
35.1
20
88%
7
3
0
0
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
7-9
6-11
78%
53%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
28.0
22.3
13
42%
7
0
0
0
3
1
5
2
1-1
100%
6-15
4-7
40%
56%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
21.7
16.7
2
26%
3
2
0
0
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
31.5
29.1
8
40%
8
5
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
28.8
26.4
10
74%
3
0
2
1
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
11.5
14.3
7
64%
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
6.0
12.9
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
4.2
0
1-1
46%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
1.8
0
0-0
47%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
46.0
36.1
17
48%
5
10
6
2
0
3
3
2
2-4
50%
3-8
6-11
38%
52%
3-8
38%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
39.4
36.5
13
39%
6
5
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
5-14
7-15
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
35.7
32.0
9
53%
10
0
1
0
0
2
4
6
5-8
63%
2-5
4-7
40%
59%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
34.3
28.3
17
57%
4
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
3-7
43%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
23.2
20.9
5
28%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
28.9
27.2
6
44%
6
2
1
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
18.9
10.5
16
81%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
2-4
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
11.8
13.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
1.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
10.7
0
2-3
46%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.