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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hornets43%9368
10Magic57%9588
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
33.0
37.4
13
57%
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
3-3
100%
5-10
7-15
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
32.1
40.3
12
40%
4
4
0
3
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
29.9
21.7
12
43%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-11
2-5
55%
43%
0-3
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
24.8
30.9
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
22.7
33.3
7
43%
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
1
3-5
60%
2-6
4-7
33%
58%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
23.3
27.5
8
57%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
20.3
14.4
3
25%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
13.0
2.5
7
44%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
0-1
29%
48%
1-1
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
10.3
6.0
2
100%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
10.3
2.6
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.1
10.3
1.8
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
10.1
12.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
36.6
30.6
12
32%
15
1
0
1
3
1
5
10
4-8
50%
4-15
6-10
27%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.8
36.5
34.7
20
68%
6
5
0
1
1
5
2
4
4-6
67%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
4-6
67%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.9
34.5
30.9
14
64%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
51%
4-6
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
29.2
32.5
18
65%
6
4
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.6
21.0
25.1
0
0%
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
19.5
23.0
11
62%
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
19.1
17.8
4
29%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.2
13.6
15.9
2
100%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
13.2
14.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.9
11.4
15.4
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.1
2.7
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
2.7
7.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.6
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.8
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.