Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Celtics	42%	96	83	94.3	88	99.3
	3	Lakers	58%	99	92	102.2	90	80.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 33	42.3	14	47%	1	3	1	0	3	4	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-11	27%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	38.3	20	67%	10	3	1	0	5	4	2	8	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	37.3	22	85%	9	2	1	1	0	2	0	9	0-0	-	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	34.1	8	80%	7	0	0	2	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	33.9	6	27%	3	12	1	0	2	5	1	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-1	0%

Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 27	16.4	6	33%	2	0	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	14.1	2	20%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	13.2	4	33%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25	10.3	1	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 31	0.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick O'Bryant C · 7'0" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Henry Walker #12 · F · 6'6" 235 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sam Cassell #28 · G · 6'3" 185 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
J.R. Giddens #4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	51%	40	22	8	3	17	0	7	33	6-8	75%	31-55	56%	5-22	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 33	42.3	14	47%	1	3	1	0	3	4	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-11	27%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 31	38.3	20	67%	10	3	1	0	5	4	2	8	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 33	37.3	22	85%	9	2	1	1	0	2	0	9	0-0	-	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 24	34.1	8	80%	7	0	0	2	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 23	33.9	6	27%	3	12	1	0	2	5	1	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-1	0%

Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 27	16.4	6	33%	2	0	1	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 31	14.1	2	20%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Glen Davis F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23	13.2	4	33%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Leon Powe F · 6'8" 240 · 25	10.3	1	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 31	0.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gabe Pruitt G · 6'4" 170 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick O'Bryant C · 7'0" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Henry Walker #12 · F · 6'6" 235 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sam Cassell #28 · G · 6'3" 185 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
J.R. Giddens #4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	51%	40	22	8	3	17	0	7	33	6-8	75%	31-55	56%	5-22	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 30	43.1	27	59%	9	5	1	0	4	2	2	7	0-0	-	12-20	60%	1-3	33%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 28	35.9	20	59%	3	5	1	3	3	0	1	2	6-6	100%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 21	35.6	9	56%	7	0	0	2	1	2	1	6	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 34	35.4	6	27%	2	7	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-2	0%	0-4	0%	2-6	33%
Luke Walton F · 6'8" 235 · 29	27.8	8	67%	4	5	1	2	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%

Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 29	24.0	10	71%	7	2	2	2	2	3	0	7	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 25	19.3	10	56%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23	18.2	2	33%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 28	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Mihm C · 7'0" 265 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Farmar #5 · G · 6'2" 180 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sun Sun #9 · G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	53%	35	27	6	9	11	0	7	28	12-15	80%	28-58	48%	8-20	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.01 50.6%

LAL

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

16

30

53%

LAL

16

23

70%

Midrange

BOS

15

25

60%

LAL

12

35

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

5

7.5

22

23%

34%

LAL

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

Free Throws

BOS

6

8

75%

LAL

12

15

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Garnett	22	85%	11.0 / 13
P. Pierce	20	67%	10.0 / 15
R. Allen	14	47%	7.0 / 15
K. Perkins	8	80%	4.0 / 5
R. Rondo	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Allen	6	33%	3.0 / 9
G. Davis	4	33%	2.0 / 6
E. House	2	20%	1.0 / 5
L. Powe	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	27	59%	13.5 / 23
P. Gasol	20	59%	10.0 / 17
L. Odom	10	71%	5.0 / 7
S. Vujacic	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Bynum	9	56%	4.5 / 8
L. Walton	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Fisher	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Ariza	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 110.1 3 112.4	BOS 94.3 LAL 102.2 +7.9
Pace	18 90.9 5 94.7	BOS 99.3 +18.5 LAL 80.8
Avg. Poss. Time	14 15.8 24 15.1	BOS 14.5 −3.3 LAL 17.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 52.8% 6 51.3%	BOS 50.0% LAL 51.3% +1.3%
TO %	28 16.4% 10 13.8%	BOS 18.3% LAL 11.5% −6.8%
ORB %	8 27.9% 3 29.3%	BOS 20.0% +2.5% LAL 17.5%
FTrt	8 32.8 18 29.9	BOS 10.4 LAL 19.2 +8.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 60.6% 8 57.7%	BOS 61.1% LAL 75.0% +13.9%
STL %	6 8.3% 2 9.2%	BOS 9.1% +2.4% LAL 6.7%
BLK %	16 7.8% 9 8.2%	BOS 5.2% LAL 16.4% +11.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 55.6% 6 54.2%	BOS 50.6% LAL 52.9% +2.3%
Rim FG%	7 60.2% 3 61.0%	BOS 53.3% LAL 69.6% +16.3%
Mid FG%	5 42.4% 7 41.8%	BOS 60.0% +25.7% LAL 34.3%
3P %	1 39.7% 19 36.1%	BOS 22.7% LAL 40.0% +17.3%
FT %	17 76.7% 14 77.1%	BOS 75.0% LAL 80.0% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 14 35.5%	BOS 39.0% +9.5% LAL 29.5%
Mid Att. %	11 40.8% 17 42.8%	BOS 32.5% −12.4% LAL 44.9%
3P Att. %	19 21.4% 17 21.7%	BOS 28.6% +2.9% LAL 25.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	LAL
Possessions	88	90
Possession Minutes	21.3	26.7
Points	83	92
Rebounds	40	35
Assists	22	27
Steals	8	6
Blocks	3	9
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	28 (4)
Field Goals	36-77	36-78
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	16-23
Midrange FG	15-25	12-35
2-Point FG	31-55	28-58
3-Point FG	5-22	8-20
Free Throws	6-8	12-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg