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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics42%9683
3Lakers58%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
42.3
34.4
14
47%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
3-11
27%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.2
38.3
30.8
20
68%
10
3
1
1
0
5
2
8
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
37.3
30.1
22
79%
9
2
1
1
1
0
0
9
0-0
-
11-13
6-12
85%
50%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.1
34.1
30.1
8
80%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
57%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
33.9
30.6
6
27%
3
12
1
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.0
16.4
21.3
6
33%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
14.1
17.4
2
20%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.0
13.2
14.3
4
33%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
10.3
15.3
1
57%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
0.2
13.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.7
8.2
0
1-2
44%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.2
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.1
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
43.1
37.3
27
59%
9
5
1
1
0
4
2
7
0-0
-
12-20
8-17
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
35.9
34.9
20
60%
3
5
1
0
3
3
1
2
6-6
100%
7-14
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
35.6
24.1
9
57%
7
0
0
0
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
35.4
36.4
6
28%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-4
2-6
0%
42%
2-6
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
27.8
18.3
8
67%
4
5
1
1
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
24.0
29.6
10
73%
7
2
2
1
2
2
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
19.3
13.4
10
48%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
18.2
26.9
2
33%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
0.7
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
2.3
0
0-1
47%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
2.1
0
0-1
47%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.