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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks47%96102
11Trail Blazers53%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.8
36.6
31.9
6
52%
12
10
2
2
0
3
3
9
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.5
34.8
35.7
30
73%
5
2
2
1
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
11-16
8-16
69%
50%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
24.6
28.5
15
54%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
24.3
23.3
4
100%
7
1
0
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.3
21.7
27.2
5
51%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.3
34.8
32.5
19
60%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
52%
3-5
60%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
21.6
21.9
8
31%
8
4
1
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-4
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
15.7
14.4
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
12.0
12.7
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
8.1
8.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
5.9
5.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.1
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.4
42.4
34.9
22
46%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
6-9
67%
8-19
7-13
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.8
38.4
33.0
14
57%
3
7
2
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-4
25%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.9
25.4
15.7
4
27%
5
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
0-3
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
24.8
37.0
12
92%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
6-8
75%
3-3
8-15
100%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.0
13.0
14.5
3
150%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.3
33.6
25.4
13
44%
4
0
4
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
44%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.7
28.4
19.9
13
77%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.2
19.4
29.3
4
72%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
3-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.5
9.6
11.9
9
113%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.6
5.0
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
4.3
0
1-2
47%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.1
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.