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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics78%10489
25Warriors22%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.2
42.1
34.0
21
75%
2
5
2
1
1
3
0
2
5-7
71%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
2-2
100%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
38.0
32.8
14
43%
4
2
1
1
3
3
1
3
4-5
80%
5-13
7-13
38%
53%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
35.1
31.9
11
46%
10
9
3
2
0
7
6
4
1-2
50%
5-11
5-9
45%
51%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
29.3
37.2
7
58%
2
0
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
25.1
13.5
12
47%
7
0
1
0
2
3
1
6
2-4
50%
5-11
2-4
45%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.0
24.4
19.5
6
77%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
21.8
16.2
10
48%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
3-8
38%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.0
19.4
14.1
8
69%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
2-4
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
4.1
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.7
0.3
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
0.3
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.1
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.2
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.1
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
46.0
34.4
28
70%
7
4
2
1
1
6
1
6
7-7
100%
6-9
4-10
67%
43%
3-8
38%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
43.2
31.0
22
59%
1
4
2
1
0
5
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
4-11
36%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
28.1
24.5
8
58%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
26.3
28.6
7
52%
7
0
2
1
0
2
3
4
1-4
25%
3-5
5-9
60%
57%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
20.4
15.8
8
44%
4
3
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
31.3
32.7
10
63%
5
2
1
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.0
29.6
16.6
14
83%
8
2
1
0
2
4
3
5
10-10
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
10.1
22.3
2
25%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.4
4.9
15.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.1
10.5
0
1-3
42%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
10.0
0
1-2
44%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
3.6
0
0-1
39%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.