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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets37%93114
18Bobcats63%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
46.7
32.7
26
62%
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
7-15
5-11
47%
50%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
41.9
37.3
28
81%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
10-12
83%
6-6
6-13
100%
47%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
30.8
30.1
6
38%
13
1
1
1
2
0
3
10
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
23.1
19.7
9
38%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
43%
1-3
33%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
21.1
19.1
7
88%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.4
37.4
25.7
14
59%
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
28.4
24.1
9
78%
3
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
22.3
16.7
12
56%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
2-4
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
6.8
20.6
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
1-1
100%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
6.7
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
6.2
0
1-1
45%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
4.8
0
0-1
51%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.1
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
46.3
35.3
32
73%
9
4
2
2
2
3
2
7
9-11
82%
10-14
5-9
71%
52%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
44.0
35.8
16
59%
10
0
0
1
3
1
5
5
4-6
67%
6-11
6-11
55%
56%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.5
43.1
37.6
13
35%
5
2
1
1
0
4
0
5
2-3
67%
4-14
5-10
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
43.0
39.0
9
36%
9
7
1
1
0
4
3
6
3-6
50%
3-10
6-11
30%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.3
28.1
32.9
18
90%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
4-6
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.1
27.5
21.5
3
34%
2
2
0
0
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.9
9.8
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
9.6
13.8
6
60%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
8.0
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
5.6
9.7
6
104%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.4
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.6
2.2
0
0-1
55%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.7
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.