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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic75%102118
28Timberwolves25%9494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.8
37.9
35.2
26
84%
7
3
0
1
0
2
0
7
8-8
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
49%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
36.7
33.2
17
56%
5
2
0
1
5
5
1
4
3-7
43%
7-12
7-11
58%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
35.7
30.7
24
67%
7
2
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
51%
4-7
57%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.6
30.7
23.1
7
70%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.9
28.3
32.4
20
71%
6
8
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
53%
4-7
57%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
20.6
18.3
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.2
19.7
14.5
7
61%
4
3
5
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
13.1
21.3
5
87%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.9
11.3
13.5
8
68%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
6.0
14.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
5.6
0
0-1
48%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.8
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.1
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.6
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.3
35.5
32.7
14
62%
9
3
2
1
1
1
3
6
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.0
35.3
37.4
16
35%
7
2
0
1
1
1
5
2
2-4
50%
7-21
9-19
33%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.3
31.3
34.9
12
37%
3
2
3
1
1
4
1
2
2-3
67%
5-14
5-10
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
12.6
20.2
3
52%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.1
11.8
29.7
2
53%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
5-9
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
38.0
22.3
21
47%
4
4
3
1
0
1
1
3
3-8
38%
3-12
3-6
25%
45%
4-7
57%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.6
23.7
25.0
6
38%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-6
29%
40%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
21.6
8.8
11
110%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
3-3
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.3
20.6
12.1
5
51%
10
0
0
0
1
3
4
6
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
5.5
7.2
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.9
4.2
2.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
40%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
2.3
0
0-0
38%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.9
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.6
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.