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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Jazz32%91115
9Rockets68%97120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
53.1
30.4
23
57%
7
4
1
2
1
0
2
5
3-7
43%
10-16
5-9
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
49.7
33.6
20
44%
10
5
3
1
2
0
5
5
6-6
100%
7-17
4-8
41%
50%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
44.7
39.2
14
39%
3
11
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
7-17
5-10
41%
49%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
22.7
28.2
15
75%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-3
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.8
20.1
19.6
14
71%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
40.2
18.5
13
62%
3
6
2
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.0
34.2
9.2
12
68%
11
2
1
0
3
1
3
8
0-2
0%
6-8
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.1
13.3
7.4
0
0%
1
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
11.9
16.1
4
50%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
6.4
0
1-2
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.5
6.0
0
1-1
43%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
5.0
0
0-1
41%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.1
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
46.8
29.8
10
49%
14
4
0
1
0
4
2
12
4-5
80%
3-8
5-10
38%
51%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
46.4
32.0
26
48%
11
2
1
0
4
3
4
7
8-9
89%
9-23
7-13
39%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
40.3
32.0
11
50%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
3-7
43%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.4
37.0
31.7
13
37%
7
1
2
1
0
3
1
6
6-10
60%
2-7
2-6
29%
42%
1-6
17%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
17.4
11.1
10
71%
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
40.6
28.6
28
61%
8
4
2
1
0
1
2
6
11-11
100%
4-12
3-7
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
22.0
18.0
6
60%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
21.5
24.0
10
48%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
18.1
14.1
6
100%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
2-3
67%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.5
10.6
0
1-1
51%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.4
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.