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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pistons44%9387
16Bucks56%9576
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
39.9
38.2
19
49%
8
4
1
1
0
1
4
4
1-3
33%
9-16
5-11
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
37.2
32.8
16
54%
6
6
0
2
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
35.5
10.1
8
67%
11
0
1
0
4
3
5
6
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
35.0
35.1
18
54%
5
6
4
1
0
5
0
5
6-6
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.3
33.8
32.7
16
49%
12
0
1
1
1
0
2
10
3-3
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
3-10
30%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
23.8
19.9
3
17%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-7
2-3
14%
47%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.3
15.7
24.9
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
10.9
9.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.0
4.3
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
3.9
2.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.8
4.4
0
0-1
51%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
0.9
0
0-0
44%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
29.3
36.0
4
18%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
0-4
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.5
27.6
30.7
10
89%
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
5-6
83%
1-1
5-9
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
26.5
32.3
12
47%
8
1
2
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
26.5
32.1
17
49%
10
1
1
1
0
1
4
6
5-5
100%
6-15
5-9
40%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
25.6
34.6
6
50%
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
22.8
5.2
2
13%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-5
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
20.4
14.4
12
64%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
8-10
80%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
19.1
8.8
0
0%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.0
15.7
5.6
6
45%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
1-4
1-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.3
11.8
16.5
3
19%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
9.5
9.4
2
25%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.8
5.2
4.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.7
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.