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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies13%87103
4Spurs87%101106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
52.4
37.2
29
63%
4
3
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
9-14
5-11
64%
45%
3-8
38%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
48.1
36.0
13
33%
11
5
1
1
0
2
4
7
2-4
50%
4-16
6-12
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
41.7
23.9
15
49%
10
2
0
1
4
1
4
6
3-5
60%
6-13
3-6
46%
49%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.7
38.6
14.3
6
61%
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.8
24.6
22.2
9
42%
3
8
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-4
25%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
33.4
25.3
11
56%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.5
23.1
25.6
16
68%
7
1
1
0
1
3
1
6
4-4
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
16.3
15.1
4
100%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.3
11.9
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.6
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.6
47.7
33.9
32
55%
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
6-7
86%
13-25
9-16
52%
54%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.7
46.2
34.8
29
63%
5
3
1
1
1
2
2
3
7-9
78%
11-19
8-15
58%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.8
40.4
29.0
10
56%
6
5
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.3
31.1
25.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
8.5
26.0
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.4
41.0
24.8
20
58%
4
4
2
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
3-7
43%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.5
38.9
15.4
6
100%
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.2
11.8
20.3
3
52%
4
0
1
1
3
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
10.0
14.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
7.6
4.7
4
67%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
6.8
7.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
2.2
0
0-1
43%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.1
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.