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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks68%9898
25Clippers32%9276
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.3
35.6
34.1
12
34%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
52%
1-6
17%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
35.1
26.4
29
67%
9
7
1
1
2
2
1
8
4-4
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
5-8
63%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.8
33.1
33.4
5
83%
8
6
3
2
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
26.9
24.7
6
68%
9
1
0
0
1
2
3
6
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
59%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
24.6
15.3
11
61%
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
30.1
13.8
14
41%
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
8-9
89%
3-13
2-5
23%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
28.5
21.5
17
58%
4
4
0
1
0
2
3
1
6-6
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
15.8
7.1
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
10.3
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.5
33.2
1
8-15
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.3
23.2
1
1-3
43%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.0
41.0
37.5
12
44%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-3
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.1
40.3
34.2
16
45%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
4-6
67%
6-13
6-12
46%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
38.5
23.1
16
59%
12
0
1
1
5
1
3
9
4-6
67%
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.7
33.1
35.3
10
35%
3
9
1
2
1
1
1
2
2-3
67%
4-10
5-11
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.6
9.1
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.7
22.3
12.8
8
37%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-4
50%
3-9
1-3
33%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.8
22.1
17.7
8
47%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
14.1
10.8
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
40%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.4
14.1
14.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.4
4.0
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.5
1.4
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
31.3
1
6-13
47%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 22.9
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.