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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat16%8586
1Cavaliers84%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.9
39.8
36.0
29
52%
4
8
2
2
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
12-23
8-17
52%
48%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
37.2
32.0
15
66%
9
1
0
1
1
4
4
5
1-1
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.6
37.1
31.0
4
33%
10
1
2
1
0
4
1
9
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
34.0
35.9
5
27%
1
5
4
2
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
14.7
25.1
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
26.2
19.5
9
37%
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
2
1-3
33%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
19.5
28.6
12
68%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
38%
2-4
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
14.0
7.8
3
38%
1
5
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
12.1
8.0
5
51%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
5.5
6.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
4.8
0
0-1
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.3
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
42.5
38.0
33
68%
6
9
0
2
1
2
0
6
7-12
58%
10-15
8-15
67%
54%
2-4
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.4
36.5
32.8
11
46%
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
3
6-7
86%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.0
34.4
33.4
20
63%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
2-5
40%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.3
27.8
26.2
2
20%
14
1
0
1
3
1
6
8
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.6
27.0
27.6
10
46%
6
0
0
0
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
2-8
5-10
25%
50%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
32.3
27.6
12
52%
10
0
0
1
2
2
3
7
4-8
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.8
24.1
21.3
5
25%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
1-5
20%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.1
15.5
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.1
2.6
0
0-1
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.3
2.0
0
0-1
52%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.8
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.1
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.7
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.