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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors13%98113
3Lakers87%113130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
31.4
17.7
14
52%
4
4
0
0
2
0
2
2
6-8
75%
4-10
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
29.4
38.3
9
46%
1
5
1
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
4-10
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
28.5
35.4
14
59%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
27.2
25.6
22
75%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
43%
2-4
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
25.5
27.5
8
39%
17
2
3
1
0
0
6
11
0-3
0%
4-9
5-9
44%
56%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
23.4
25.7
14
89%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
3-3
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.0
20.2
21.9
0
0%
1
1
2
0
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
19.8
31.6
12
58%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
9.5
7.1
10
94%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.5
9.3
11.0
6
52%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
7.8
17.1
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
7.8
6.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
31.7
39.0
31
80%
3
4
4
2
0
2
1
2
10-10
100%
6-9
10-19
67%
52%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
30.3
34.8
13
53%
9
7
1
1
0
3
1
8
5-5
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
56%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
25.4
28.3
13
52%
10
3
2
0
1
1
4
6
1-1
100%
6-12
6-9
50%
60%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
24.8
35.6
19
79%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
8-10
3-6
80%
46%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
24.0
21.8
9
44%
3
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
31.2
15.8
17
78%
2
6
1
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
4-7
57%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
25.8
23.7
11
67%
9
4
1
1
2
2
3
6
4-5
80%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
21.7
27.5
6
52%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-4
25%
1-3
4-6
33%
55%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
11.5
7.3
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
7.1
2.1
5
36%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-6
0-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
6.5
1.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
2.8
0
0-1
49%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.